The Philadelphia Phillies are playing host to the Boston Red Sox at Citizens Bank Park. This interleague matchup will get underway at 1:05 p.m. ET and fans can tune in to NBC Sports Philadelphia to catch the game.
Boston Red Sox at Philadelphia Phillies Odds
Philadelphia (-110) is favored over Boston (+100) and Vegas has put the Over/Under for this one at 11 runs (-110 for the over and -110 for the under). Runline odds stand at -210 for picking the Red Sox +1.5 runs and +175 for the Phillies -1.5 runs.
The Red Sox have gone 78-70 SU this year and are 60-87 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 24.8 units for moneyline gamblers and 36.0 units ATS. Boston has covered the spread only twice over its last seven games and the total has gone under in five of those seven. The Phillies, on the other hand, are 76-71 SU and 70-76 ATS. The team’s lost 3.5 units for moneyline bettors and 6.7 units ATS. Philadelphia has covered the spread five times in its last seven games and the total has gone over in five of those seven.
Philadelphia games have an over/under record of 70-72-4 in 2019. Boston has been a strong over bet with a total record of 81-63-3.
The right-handed Rick Porcello is projected to start for Boston. Porcello is 12-12 with a 5.83 ERA and 123 strikeouts. He’s 0-1 with three strikeouts and a 5.40 ERA against Philadelphia this year.
The Phillies will be sending lefty Jason Vargas (6-7, 4.31 ERA) to the mound. Vargas has 107 strikeouts and 55 walks to his credit, along with a WHIP of 1.34. Vargas hasn’t faced the Red Sox yet this year and did not re a start against them in 2018.
As a unit, Philadelphia’s pitching staff has given up 4.9 runs per game overall this season. Its starting pitching staff has an ERA of 4.54, a WHIP of 1.35 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 8.3. The bullpen has a 4.55 ERA, 1.43 WHIP and 8.9 K/9.
The Philadelphia offense has produced 4.9 runs per outing, including 4.6 per game over its last 10 games and 3.8 per game over its last five. The team has hit .211/.291/.453 over its last five contests and is 2-3 SU during that span.
The Phillies’ batters have been led by second baseman Cesar Hernandez and shortstop Jean Segura. Hernandez is hitting .283/.338/.405 with 11 home runs, 63 RBIs and 69 runs scored, while Segura is batting .284 with 12 homers, 56 RBIs and 77 runs scored.
In the other dugout, Boston’s pitching staff allowed 5.0 runs per game and its starters own a 4.90 ERA, 1.37 WHIP and 9.46 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.33, along with a WHIP of 1.37.
Red Sox hitters have slashed .271/.343/.471 on their way to 5.6 runs scored per game in 2019, including 3.1 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 2.4 per game over the team’s last five outings (2-3 SU).
Third baseman Rafael Devers and shortstop Xander Bogaerts have paced Boston’s hitters. Devers is slashing .312/.363/.560 with 29 home runs, 107 RBIs and 118 runs scored, while Bogaerts (.304/.381/.559) has produced 31 homers, 106 RBIs and 103 runs scored.
The Red Sox have lost 17.2 units and are 16-31 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher this season. The over has cashed in 26 of those games, compared to 20 that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Phillies have netted 6.1 units and are 54-53 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over’s hit in 52 of those games, compared to 51 that’ve gone under.
Red Sox at Phillies Free Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Phillies, ATS Winner – Red Sox, O/U – OVER
Betting Notes
- The over has hit in five of Philadelphia’s last seven games.
- The Red Sox have hit eight home runs in their last 10 games. The Phillies have hit 20 over their last 10.
- The Red Sox have a total OPS of .814 this season and an OPS of .786 when facing left-handed pitchers. The Phillies’ OPS sits at .754 overall and .783 against lefties.
- Philadelphia has recorded 20.8 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 17.4 over its last five.
