The Milwaukee Brewers will be taking the field against their NL Central foe St. Louis Cardinals in a Saturday showdown. Fox Sports Midwest is in line to broadcast the matchup. The game is scheduled to get underway at 7:15 p.m. ET.
Milwaukee Brewers vs. St. Louis Cardinals Odds
St. Louis (-190) is a pretty solid favorite against Milwaukee (+180) and Vegas has put the Over/Under for this game at 7.5 runs (-105 for the under and -115 for the over). Bettors can also wager on the game’s runline with the current odds standing at -125 for the Brewers +1.5 runs and +105 for the Cardinals -1.5.
The Cardinals are 83-64 straight up (SU) and 77-69 against the spread (ATS). The team’s gained 5.0 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 5.3 units ATS. St. Louis has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the total has gone over in four of those seven. The Brewers are 78-69 SU and have gone 66-80 against the spread. In total, the club has lost 0.6 units for moneyline bettors and 20.4 units ATS. Milwaukee has covered the spread five times in its last seven games and the under has hit in four of those seven.
Cardinals games have had an over/under record of 58-77-11 in 2019. The Brewers have also been a good under bet with a total record of 63-78-5.
Jordan Lyles is getting the start for the visiting Brewers. The right-handed Lyles (10-8, 4.31 ERA) has recorded 127 punchouts in 125.1 innings so far. He’s 2-1 with 18 strikeouts and a 4.85 ERA against St. Louis this year (three starts).
The Cardinals are handing the ball to righty Jack Flaherty (10-7, 2.99 ERA), who has 196 strikeouts and 49 walks, along with a WHIP of 1.03. Flaherty is 1-2 with 25 strikeouts and a 7.11 ERA over four starts against Milwaukee this year.
As a unit, St. Louis’ pitching staff has allowed 4.0 runs per game overall this year. Its starting pitching staff has a 3.87 ERA, 1.30 WHIP and 8.1 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 3.65 ERA, 1.19 WHIP and 9.8 K/9. In 67 games against divisional foes, Cardinals starters have an ERA of 4.03 and the bullpen’s ERA is 4.07.
St. Louis’ offense has produced 4.7 runs per contest, including 5.2 per game against divisional foes and 4.8 per game over its last five. The team has a slash-line of .226/.339/.428 over its last five matchups and is 3-2 SU during that stretch.
First baseman Paul Goldschmidt and second baseman Kolten Wong have paced the Cardinals’ hitters this year. Goldschmidt is slashing .262/.345/.477 with 31 home runs, 89 RBIs and 87 runs scored, and Wong’s line sits at .287/.365/.432 with 11 homers, 59 RBIs, 61 runs and 22 stolen bases.
In the visiting dugout, Milwaukee’s pitching staff allowed 4.9 runs per game and its starters own a 4.66 ERA, 1.39 WHIP and 8.37 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 4.56, along with a WHIP of 1.39 and a K-per-9 of 10.06.
The Brewers offense has slashed .247/.331/.438 on its way to 4.7 runs scored per game in 2019, including 4.6 runs per game against divisional foes and 4.4 per game over the team’s last five contests (4-1 SU).
Milwaukee’s hitters have been paced by outfielders Christian Yelich and Lorenzo Cain, who have combined to belt 52 home runs. Yelich is hitting .329/.429/.671 with 44 home runs, 97 RBIs, 100 runs and 30 steals, while Cain (.251/.318/.349) has produced eight homers, 42 RBIs, 69 runs and 16 stolen bases.
The Brewers have gained 2.4 units and are 47-52 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this season. The over has hit in 48 of those games, as opposed to 49 that’ve hit the under in such games. On the other hand, the Cardinals have netted 6.5 units and are 64-53 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in 43 of those games, compared to 67 that’ve cashed the under.
Brewers vs. Cardinals Free Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Cardinals, ATS Winner – Brewers, O/U – UNDER
Betting Notes
- Milwaukee has logged 15 extra-base hits over its last five outings. St. Louis has 18 XBH over its last five.
- The Brewers have a team OPS of .769 this season and an OPS of .770 against right-handed pitchers. The Cardinals’ OPS sits at .738 overall and .735 versus righties.
- Milwaukee has recorded 19.9 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 games and 18.0 over its last five.
- The Brewers have hit 15 home runs in their last 10 games. The Cardinals have hit 14 over their last 10.
