The Miami Marlins will do battle against the San Francisco Giants in a Saturday night game. The first pitch is scheduled for 9:05 p.m. ET and NBC Sports – Bay Area will broadcast this NL matchup.
Miami Marlins at San Francisco Giants Odds
Miami (+187) is coming into this one as the underdog against San Francisco (-205) and oddsmakers have set the Over/Under for this night game at 7.5 runs. The odds for wagering on the game’s total currently stand at -115 for the over and -105 for the under. You can also wager on the game’s spread with the runline odds standing at -115 for the Marlins +1.5 runs and -105 for the Giants -1.5.
The Giants are 74-73 against the spread (ATS)despite being only 71-77 straight up (SU). The team’s gained 7.9 units for moneyline bettors while earning 16.4 units ATS. San Francisco has covered the spread only twice in its last seven games and the under has hit in three of those seven. The Marlins are 51-96 SU and have gone 73-73 against the spread. In total, the club has lost 16.7 units for moneyline gamblers and 11.0 units ATS. Miami is 3-4 ATS over its last seven games and the over has hit in four of those seven.
San Francisco games have an over/under record of 71-67-9 in 2019. Miami has an over/under record of 69-66-11.
The right-handed Robert Dugger is projected to start for the visiting Marlins. Dugger is 0-2 with a 4.29 ERA and 15 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Giants this year and did not record a start against them in 2018, either.
The Giants will send lefty Madison Bumgarner (9-8, 3.77 ERA) to the mound. Bumgarner has 184 strikeouts and 39 walks to his name, along with a WHIP of 1.12. Bumgarner is 0-1 with four strikeouts and a 3.00 ERA in one start against Miami this year.
San Francisco’s pitchers have allowed 4.8 runs per game overall in 2019 as a unit. Its starters have an ERA of 4.76, a WHIP of 1.34 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 8.0. The bullpen has a 3.90 ERA, 1.25 WHIP and 8.8 K/9.
The San Francisco hitters are putting up 4.3 runs per outing, including 3.0 per game over its last 10 games and 3.0 per game over their last five. The team has a slash-line of .232/.280/.323 over its last five contests and is 2-3 SU during that span.
The Giants’ offense has been led by Kevin Pillar and Brandon Belt. Pillar is hitting .268/.295/.458 with 21 home runs, 79 RBIs and 75 runs scored, while Belt’s line is .235/.340/.405 with 16 homers, 56 RBIs and 71 runs.
In the visiting dugout, Miami’s pitching staff allowed 5.0 runs per game and its starters own a 4.53 ERA, 1.28 WHIP and 8.25 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 5.09, along with a K-per-9 of 9.28.
Marlins hitters have slashed .240/.300/.369 on their way to 3.7 runs scored per game in 2019, including 3.9 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 2.6 per game over the team’s last five outings (0-5 SU).
Second baseman Starlin Castro and third baseman Brian Anderson continue to lead Miami’s hitters. Castro is slashing .267/.296/.419 with 19 home runs, 78 RBIs and 59 runs scored, while Anderson is hitting .261/.342/.468 with 20 homers, 66 RBIs and 57 runs scored.
The Marlins have lost 2.5 units and are 22-16 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher this year. The over has cashed in 21 of those games, compared to 14 that’ve hit the under against lefty starters. On the other hand, the Giants have netted 8.5 units and are 56-48 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over’s cashed in 51 of those games, compared to 45 that went under the total.
Marlins at Giants Free Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Giants, ATS Winner – Marlins, O/U – UNDER
Betting Trends
- Miami has logged nine extra-base hits over its last five outings. San Francisco has 10 XBH over its last five.
- The Marlins have a team OPS of .668 this season, including an OPS of .691 against left-handed pitchers. The Giants’ OPS stands at .702 overall and .718 against southpaws.
- The Marlins have dropped seven of their last eight games SU.
- Miami has recorded 21.3 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 17.4 over its last five.
- The Marlins have hit seven home runs in their last 10 games. The Giants have hit six over their last 10.
