The Baltimore Orioles will take on the Detroit Tigers in a Saturday showdown. Fox Sports Detroit will be televising this AL showdown and the action gets going at 6:10 p.m. ET.
Baltimore Orioles at Detroit Tigers Odds
Detroit (-130) is favored over Baltimore (+120) and oddsmakers have set the Over/Under for this game at 9.5 runs (-105 for the over and -115 for the under). Bettors can also wager on the game’s spread with the runline odds coming in at Orioles +1.5 runs (-175) and Tigers -1.5 runs (+155).
The Orioles have gone 48-99 SU this year and are 61-85 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 18.7 units for moneyline bettors and 29.0 units ATS. Baltimore has covered the spread just once over its last seven games and the total has gone over in three of those seven. The Tigers, on the other hand, are 43-103 SU and 60-85 ATS. They’ve lost 35.9 units for moneyline bettors and 30.9 units ATS. Detroit has a 3-4 ATS record over its last seven games and the total has gone over in four of those seven.
Tigers games have had an over/under record of 67-68-10 in 2019. The Orioles have been a good over bet with a total record of 74-61-11.
Gabriel Ynoa will get the start for the visiting Orioles. The right-handed Ynoa is 1-8 with a 5.79 ERA and 60 strikeouts. He’s 0-0 with four strikeouts and a 4.50 ERA against Detroit this year.
The Tigers are putting the ball in the left hand of Daniel Norris (3-12, 4.72 ERA), who has 116 punchouts and 38 walks as well as a 1.37 WHIP. Norris is 0-1 with five strikeouts and a 3.18 ERA in one start against Baltimore this year.
As a unit, Detroit’s pitchers have yielded 5.7 runs per game overall in 2019. Its starters have a 5.51 ERA, 1.43 WHIP and 8.5 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 5.01 ERA, 1.48 WHIP and 8.5 K/9.
The Detroit hitters have produced 3.7 runs per outing, including 4.5 per game over its last 10 games and 4.6 per game over their last five. The team’s hit .263/.335/.400 over its last five games and is 1-4 SU during that stretch.
The Tigers’ offense has been led by Miguel Cabrera and Nicholas Castellanos. Cabrera is slashing .289/.352/.399 with 10 home runs, 55 RBIs and 38 runs scored, while the line for Castellanos stands at .273/.328/.462 with 11 homers, 37 RBIs and 57 runs.
For the visiting squad, Baltimore’s pitchers have allowed 6.1 runs per game and its starters own a 5.68 ERA, 1.42 WHIP and 7.11 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 5.89, along with a K-per-9 of 8.58.
Orioles hitters have slashed .246/.310/.411 on their way to 4.4 runs scored per game this season, including 3.7 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 4.4 per game over the team’s last five contests (2-3 SU).
Second baseman Jonathan Villar and right fielder Trey Mancini continue to lead Baltimore’s hitters. Villar is slashing .276/.342/.455 with 21 home runs, 65 RBIs, 98 runs and 34 stolen bases, while Mancini is slashing .277/.349/.515 with 31 homers, 80 RBIs and 96 runs scored.
The Orioles have lost 5.0 units and are 24-32 ATS when facing a lefty starter this season. The over has cashed in 29 of those games, compared to 23 that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Tigers have lost 31.8 units and are 42-69 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in 47 of those games, compared to 56 that’ve cashed the under.
Orioles at Tigers Free MLB Tip
Predictions: SU Winner – Tigers, ATS Winner – Orioles, O/U – UNDER
Betting Trends
- The over has hit in three of Baltimore’s last seven contests.
- The Orioles have an OPS of .721 this season, including an OPS of .747 against left-handed pitchers. The Tigers’ OPS sits at .687 overall and .715 against lefties.
- The Tigers have lost five of their last six games SU.
- Baltimore has recorded 19.1 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 18.4 over its last five.
- The Orioles have hit 13 home runs in their last 10 games, including seven over their last five.
