Chicago Cubs vs. San Diego Padres Betting Preview

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The Chicago Cubs are ready to take the field against the San Diego Padres in a Thursday showdown. The game gets underway 3:40 p.m. ET and NBC Sports Chicago will be televising this NL matchup.

Chicago Cubs vs. San Diego Padres Odds

Chicago (-135) is favored against San Diego (+125) and Vegas has put the Over/Under for this game at 8.5 runs. Odds for betting on the game’s total currently sit at +105 for the over and -125 for the under. Bettors can also wager on the game’s spread with the most recent runline odds sitting at Cubs -1.5 runs (+110) and Padres +1.5 runs (-130).

The Padres are 68-77 straight up (SU) and 68-76 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 13.7 units for moneyline bettors and 15.4 units ATS. The Cubs are 77-68 SU and have gone 68-76 ATS. Overall, the team’s lost 4.8 units for moneyline bettors and 8.0 units ATS.

Padres games have a 69-67-8 over/under record in 2019. The Cubs have an over/under record of 65-68-11.

Yu Darvish is getting the nod for Chicago. The right-handed Darvish is 5-6 with a 4.12 ERA and 190 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Padres this year and did not record a start against them in 2018, either.

The Padres are sending righty Dinelson Lamet (2-4, 3.95 ERA) to the mound. Lamet has 74 punchouts and 23 walks to his credit, along with a WHIP of 1.26. Lamet did not record any MLB pitching stats last season.

San Diego’s pitching staff has given up 4.8 runs per game overall in 2019 as a unit. Its starters have an ERA of 4.55, a WHIP of 1.28 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 8.5. The bullpen has a 4.52 ERA, 1.32 WHIP and 9.9 K/9.

San Diego’s hitters have produced 4.3 runs per outing, including 3.9 per game over its last 10 games and 4.0 per game over their last five. The team has a slash-line of .240/.339/.335 over its last five games and is 4-1 SU during that span.

The Padres’ batters have been led by first baseman Eric Hosmer and third baseman Manny Machado. Hosmer is hitting .280/.327/.443 with 20 home runs, 92 RBIs and 68 runs scored, while Machado’s line sits at .259/.331/.464 with 29 homers, 78 RBIs and 77 runs scored.

For the visiting squad, Chicago’s pitching staff allowed 4.4 runs per game and its starters own a 4.08 ERA, 1.29 WHIP and 8.80 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.03, along with a WHIP of 1.29.

Cubs hitters have slashed .250/.331/.448 on their way to 4.9 runs scored per game this year, including 4.7 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 5.0 per game over the team’s last five outings (1-4 SU).

Shortstop Javier Baez and third baseman Kris Bryant continue to lead Chicago’s hitters. Baez is slashing .281/.316/.532 with 29 home runs, 85 RBIs and 88 runs scored. Bryant (.281/.381/.521) is up to 28 homers, 68 RBIs and 100 runs scored.

Cubs vs. Padres MLB Prediction

Predictions: SU Winner – Cubs, ATS Winner – Cubs, O/U – OVER

Betting Trends

  • Chicago has tallied 15 extra-base hits over its last five games. San Diego has seven XBH over its last five.
  • The Cubs have a team OPS of .780 this season and an OPS of .796 when facing right-handed pitchers. The Padres’ OPS stands at .730 overall and .707 against righties.
  • The Cubs have lost five of their last six games SU while the Padres have won four of their last five.
  • Chicago has recorded 19.9 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 20.2 over its last five.
  • The Cubs have hit 15 home runs in their last 10 games, including eight over their last five.