The Philadelphia Phillies are set to host their division foe Atlanta Braves at Citizens Bank Park. The matchup is going to be televised nationwide on Fox and the opening pitch is scheduled for 7:15 p.m. ET.
Atlanta Braves at Philadelphia Phillies Odds
Philadelphia (+115) is entering into this one as an underdog against Atlanta (-125) and Vegas has put the Over/Under for this game at 10 runs. The odds for betting on the game’s total now stand at -110 for both the over and the under. Gamblers can also wager on the game’s runline with the odds standing at +120 for the Braves -1.5 runs and -140 for the Phillies +1.5 runs.
The Phillies are 75-70 straight up (SU) and 69-75 against the spread (ATS). The team hasn’t moved the needle much for gamblers, losing 3.6 units for moneyline bettors and 6.4 units ATS. On the other hand, the Braves have gone 91-56 SU this year and are 73-73 ATS. In total, the team’s accumulated 22.4 units for moneyline bettors and 0.8 units ATS.
Philadelphia games have an over/under record of 69-71-4 in 2019. Braves games have gone over 71 times, gone under 67 times and pushed on eight occasions.
The right-handed Julio Teheran is the probable starter for the visiting Braves. Teheran is 10-8 with a 3.31 ERA and 154 strikeouts. He’s 0-1 with seven strikeouts and a 5.40 ERA against Philadelphia this year.
The Phillies are turning to lefty Drew Smyly (4-6, 6.20 ERA), who has 104 strikeouts and 51 walks, along with a WHIP of 1.60. Smyly has yet to face the Braves this year and did not appear in the majors in 2018.
As a unit, Philadelphia’s pitching staff has allowed 4.9 runs per game overall in 2019. The club’s starting pitching staff has an ERA of 4.56, a WHIP of 1.36 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 8.2. The bullpen has a 4.58 ERA, 1.43 WHIP and 8.9 K/9. In 64 games against divisional opponents, Phillies starters have an ERA of 4.75 and the bullpen’s ERA is 5.55.
The Philadelphia hitters are putting up 4.9 runs per contest, including 5.2 per game against divisional foes and 4.8 per game over their last five. The team has hit .246/.299/.474 over its last five games and is 3-2 SU during that stretch.
Second baseman Cesar Hernandez and shortstop Jean Segura have led the way for the Phillies’ hitters this year. Hernandez is slashing .279/.333/.397 with 10 home runs, 61 RBIs and 68 runs scored, and Segura is batting .282 with 11 homers, 54 RBIs and 76 runs.
In the visiting dugout, Atlanta’s pitchers have allowed 4.6 runs per game and its starters own a 4.12 ERA, 1.34 WHIP and 8.28 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 4.40, along with a WHIP of 1.34.
The Braves offense has slashed .259/.339/.457 on its way to 5.3 runs scored per game in 2019, including 5.5 runs per game against divisional foes and 4.8 per game over the team’s last five contests (3-2 SU).
Atlanta’s hitters have been led by first baseman Freddie Freeman and second baseman Ozzie Albies, who have combined to launch 59 home runs. Freeman is hitting .305/.396/.572 with 38 home runs, 117 RBIs and 111 runs scored, while Albies (.289/.347/.487) has produced 21 homers, 76 RBIs, 93 runs and 15 stolen bases.
Braves vs. Phillies MLB Prediction
Predictions: SU Winner – Braves, ATS Winner – Braves, O/U – OVER
Betting Notes
- Atlanta has recorded 16 extra-base hits over its last five games. Philadelphia has 17 XBH over its last five.
- The Braves have hit 17 home runs in their last 10 games, including 10 over their last five.
- The Braves have a team OPS of .796 this season and an OPS of .790 against left-handed pitchers. The Phillies’ OPS stands at .753 overall and .789 against southpaws.
- Atlanta has recorded 18.8 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 games and 20.0 over its last five.
