Pittsburgh Pirates at San Francisco Giants Free Pick

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The San Francisco Giants are set to play host to the Pittsburgh Pirates at Oracle Park. The game will begin at 9:45 p.m. ET and this NL showdown will be shown on either ATPT or NSBA.

Pittsburgh Pirates vs. San Francisco Giants Odds

San Francisco (+100) is heading into this one as an underdog against Pittsburgh (-110) and oddsmakers have set the Over/Under for this game at 8.5 runs (-115 for the under and -105 for the over). Bettors can also wager on the game’s spread with the runline odds standing at +135 for the Pirates -1.5 runs and -155 for the Giants +1.5.

The Pirates are 63-82 SU and are 70-74 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 7.7 units for moneyline bettors and 20.4 units ATS. Pittsburgh has covered the spread only twice over its last seven games and the over has hit in five of those seven. The Giants, on the other hand, are 70-75 SU and 74-70 ATS. The team’s gained 9.4 units for bettors taking the moneyline while earning 13.4 units ATS. San Francisco has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the over has cashed in four of those seven.

Giants games have a 70-66-8 over/under record in 2019. Pittsburgh has been a solid over bet with a total record of 82-55-7.

Dario Agrazal will get the nod for the visiting Pirates. The right-handed Agrazal is 4-4 with a 4.94 ERA and 28 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Giants this year and did not record a start against them in 2018, either.

The Giants are turning to Logan Webb (1-1, 6.50 ERA). Webb has 18 punchouts and six walks, along with a WHIP of 1.78. Webb did not record any MLB appearances in 2018.

As a unit, San Francisco’s pitchers have given up 4.8 runs per game overall in 2019. Its starting pitching staff has a 4.77 ERA, 1.35 WHIP and 8.1 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 3.95 ERA, 1.26 WHIP and 8.7 K/9.

San Francisco’s offense has produced 4.3 runs per contest, including 2.9 per game over its last 10 games and 3.0 per game over its last five. The team has slashed .221/.298/.301 over its last five games and is 3-2 SU during that stretch.

Kevin Pillar and Brandon Belt have led the Giants’ hitters this year. Pillar is slashing .268/.296/.462 with 21 home runs, 79 RBIs and 74 runs scored, while Belt is batting .232 with 16 homers, 56 RBIs and 71 runs.

In the visiting dugout, Pittsburgh’s pitching staff allowed 5.5 runs per game and its starters own a 5.27 ERA, 1.43 WHIP and 8.25 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.80, along with a WHIP of 1.43.

The Pirates offense has slashed .266/.327/.428 on its way to 4.8 runs scored per game this season, including 5.4 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 4.0 per game over the team’s last five outings (2-3 SU).

Pittsburgh’s hitters have been paced by outfielders Starling Marte and Bryan Reynolds, who collectively have launched 39 home runs. Marte is slashing .295/.342/.503 with 23 home runs, 82 RBIs, 97 runs and 25 steals. Reynolds (.330/.392/.529) is up to 16 homers, 66 RBIs and 80 runs scored.

The Pirates have lost 1.9 units and are 53-54 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has hit in 57 of those games, compared to 44 that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Giants have netted 10.0 units and are 56-45 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in 50 of those games, as opposed to 44 that’ve cashed the under.

Pirates vs. Giants Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – Giants, ATS Winner – Giants, O/U – OVER

Betting Notes

  • Pittsburgh has recorded 12 extra-base hits over its last five games. San Francisco has nine XBH over its last five.
  • The Pirates have hit 12 home runs in their last 10 games. The Giants have hit eight over their last 10.
  • The Pirates have a total OPS of .755 this season and an OPS of .775 against right-handed pitchers. The Giants’ OPS stands at .705 overall and .695 against righties.
  • Pittsburgh has recorded 24.6 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 20.0 over its last five.