Kansas City Chiefs vs. Jacksonville Jaguars – Free Week 1 Betting Pick

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The Kansas City Chiefs (-4) will open the 2019 campaign against the Jacksonville Jaguars (+4) at EverBank Field. This early afternoon matchup starts at 1:00 p.m. ET and CBS is in line to broadcast the action. These squads faced off last year with the final outcome being a 30-14 win for Kansas City.

Betting Preview: Jacksonville Jaguars vs. Kansas City Chiefs

In this Sunday AFC matchup, Kansas City is tabbed as the favorite and is currently giving up 4 points. The Chiefs are also receiving -170 moneyline odds while the Jaguars are +150. If one squad can find paydirt early it’ll create a reasonable live betting opportunity. Vegas has placed the over/under (O/U) at 52.5 points.

The early action has moved toward the Jags, as the opening line was 5. The total hasn’t changed after it was initially set at 52.5.

The Jaguars were 5-11 straight up (SU) last year while the Chiefs went 13-5 in 2018. Against conference foes, the Chiefs went 10-2 SU while the Jaguars were 4-8 SU against American Football Conference squads. The Chiefs went 2-2 SU when facing teams from outside the conference and the Jaguars were 1-3 SU against non-conference teams.

The Chiefs averaged 328.5 passing yards per game and 111.8 rushing yards per game against their four out-of-conference opponents last year. The team was able to put up 36.5 points per game against those opponents while giving up 33.3 per contest. Against AFC teams, they scored an average of 34.9 points and gave up 24.0 points per contest. They ultimately produced 317.7 pass yards per game and 117.3 rush yards per game.

When facing off against non-conference competition, the Jags passed for 167.0 yards per game and ran for 111.0 per game on their way to 14.5 points per contest. When facing AFC opponents, the offense recorded 15.6 points per game by averaging 230.3 passing yards and 106.6 rushing yards. The Jaguars defense allowed 23.8 PPG to non-conference foes and 18.4 PPG to conference teams

If the numbers last year can translate to 2019, then it appears the Chiefs should hold an edge when it comes to quarterback protection, since their offensive line yielded just 26 sacks last season while the D-line logged 52 sacks. The Jaguars O-line gave up 53 sacks last year and their defense sacked opposing QBs just 37 times.

Kansas City Chiefs at Jacksonville Jaguars Free NFL Pick

SU Winner: Chiefs, ATS Winner: Chiefs, O/U: Over

Betting Notes

  • Kansas City created 16 rushing touchdowns last season.
  • Jacksonville put up seven rushing touchdowns last season.
  • The Chiefs registered 4.8 yards per carry last season while allowing a YPC of 5.0 to opponents.
  • The Jaguars recorded 4.1 yards per carry last season and allowed 4.3 YPC to opponents.
  • Kansas City recorded 50 passing touchdowns last season.
  • Jacksonville converted 15 passing touchdowns last season.