DJ LeMahieu and the New York Yankees are preparing to face off against their divisional rival Boston Red Sox at Fenway Park in a Sunday showdown. The matchup can be viewed across the country on ESPN and the game gets underway 8:08 p.m. ET.
New York Yankees vs. Boston Red Sox Odds
Las Vegas has Boston (+105) as the underdog to New York (-115). You can play game’s total with current odds sitting at -120 for over 11 runs and even money (+100) for under 11. This game currently has a runline of Yankees -1.5 (+130) and Red Sox +1.5 (-150).
The Yankees have gone 93-50 SU this year and are 81-61 against the spread (ATS). They’ve accumulated 21.1 units for moneyline gamblers and 21.6 units ATS. The Red Sox, on the other hand, are 76-66 SU and 59-82 ATS. They’ve lost 20.0 units for moneyline bettors and 30.5 units ATS.
Boston games have an over/under record of 79-59-3 in 2019. Yankees games have gone over 76 times, gone under 62 times and pushed on four instances.
Masahiro Tanaka will get the nod for the visiting Yankees. The right-handed Tanaka is 10-8 with a 4.42 ERA and 133 strikeouts. He’s 0-1 with four strikeouts and a 40.50 ERA against Boston this year (two starts).
The Red Sox are sending righty Rick Porcello (12-11, 5.63 ERA) to the mound. Porcello has 122 strikeouts and 44 walks as well as a WHIP of 1.44. Porcello is 1-1 with 10 strikeouts and an 11.45 ERA over three starts against New York this year.
New York’s pitching staff allowed 4.6 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 4.62 ERA, 1.29 WHIP and 8.96 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.08, along with a WHIP of 1.29 and a K-per-9 of 9.87.
Yankees hitters have slashed .269/.342/.488 on their way to 5.7 runs scored per game this season, including 6.4 runs per game against divisional foes and 4.0 per game over the team’s last five contests (3-2 SU).
Second baseman DJ LeMahieu and shortstop Gleyber Torres continue to lead New York’s hitters. LeMahieu is slashing .328/.377/.526 with 24 home runs, 90 RBIs and 98 runs scored, while Torres (.283/.345/.537) is up to 34 homers, 79 RBIs and 88 runs scored.
For the home team, Boston’s pitchers have given up 5.0 runs per game overall in 2019. The team’s starters have an ERA of 4.94, a WHIP of 1.38 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 9.4. The bullpen has a 4.24 ERA, 1.35 WHIP and 10.5 K/9. In 64 games against divisional opponents, Red Sox starters have an ERA of 5.26 and the bullpen’s ERA is 4.93.
Boston’s hitters are putting up 5.7 runs per outing, including 5.6 per game against divisional foes and 3.8 per game over their last five. The team has a slash-line of .196/.285/.379 over its last five matchups and is 2-3 SU during that stretch.
The Red Sox hitters have been led by third baseman Rafael Devers and shortstop Xander Bogaerts. Devers is slashing .314/.364/.568 with 29 home runs, 107 RBIs and 116 runs scored, while Bogaerts has produced a line of .309/.385/.570 with 31 homers, 105 RBIs and 102 runs.
The Yankees have gained 14.4 units and are 53-44 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has cashed in 53 of those games, compared to 42 that’ve gone under against right-handed starting pitchers. On the other hand, the Red Sox have lost 4.8 units and are 43-53 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over’s cashed in 53 of those games, compared to 41 that’ve gone under.
Yankees at Red Sox Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Red Sox, ATS Winner – Red Sox, O/U – OVER
Betting Notes
- The over has cashed in just one of New York’s last seven contests.
- The Yankees have won three of their last four games SU.
- Boston has recorded 20.5 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 15.8 over its last five.
- The Yankees have hit 21 home runs in their last 10 games. The Red Sox have hit 19 over their last 10.
- The Yankees have an OPS of .830 this season and an OPS of .825 when facing right-handed pitchers. The Red Sox’ OPS stands at .823 overall and .826 against righties.
