Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cincinnati Reds Free Pick

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The Arizona Diamondbacks will head east to Great American Ball Park to play the Cincinnati Reds. This NL showdown will get underway at 7:10 p.m. ET and fans can tune in to Fox Sports Arizona to catch the game.

Arizona Diamondbacks at Cincinnati Reds Odds

Oddsmakers have listed Arizona (-110) as the favorite over Cincinnati (+100). If you think this game’s total will go under 9 runs, bookmakers are currently offering even money odds (+100). Playing the over will give you -120 odds. The game’s most recent runline odds sit at +135 for taking the Diamondbacks -1.5 runs and -155 for the Reds +1.5 runs.

The Diamondbacks are 73-67 SU and are 79-61 against the spread (ATS). They’ve accumulated 6.3 units for moneyline bettors and 13.5 units ATS. The Reds, on the other hand, are 66-75 SU and 77-63 ATS. They’ve lost 8.9 units for moneyline bettors while earning 4.5 units ATS.

Cincinnati games have had an over/under record of 54-79-7 in 2019. Arizona has an over/under record of 64-65-11.

The southpaw Robbie Ray is the projected starter for Arizona. Ray (12-7, 3.97 ERA) has racked up 199 punchouts in 152 innings so far. He has yet to face the Reds this year and only made one start against them in 2018 (0-0, 3.60 ERA and six strikeouts over five innings).

The Reds are countering with Tyler Mahle (2-10, 4.72 ERA). Mahle has 111 strikeouts and 26 walks, along with a WHIP of 1.26. Mahle did not record a start against the Diamondbacks in 2018.

Cincinnati’s pitching staff has allowed 4.4 runs per game overall in 2019 as a unit. The team’s starting pitching staff has an ERA of 4.05, a WHIP of 1.25 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 9.7. The bullpen has a 4.53 ERA, 1.33 WHIP and 9.8 K/9.

The Cincinnati hitters have produced 4.5 runs per outing, including 3.9 per game over its last 10 games and 4.0 per game over their last five. The team has a slash-line of .229/.319/.446 over its last five games and is 3-2 SU during that span.

The Reds’ hitters have been led by third baseman Eugenio Suarez and shortstop Jose Iglesias. Suarez is slashing .264/.344/.553 with 41 home runs, 88 RBIs and 78 runs scored, while Iglesias has produced a line of .293/.321/.420 with 11 homers, 53 RBIs and 58 runs.

In the visiting dugout, Arizona’s pitchers have allowed 4.6 runs per game and its starters own a 4.34 ERA, 1.29 WHIP and 8.59 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.36, along with a WHIP of 1.29.

The Diamondbacks offense has slashed .258/.329/.448 on its way to 5.2 runs scored per game in 2019, including 5.9 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 5.8 per game over the team’s last five contests (4-1 SU).

Ketel Marte and Eduardo Escobar continue to lead Arizona’s offense. Marte is slashing .328/.387/.591 with 30 home runs, 85 RBIs and 92 runs scored, while Escobar (.271/.323/.533) has produced 33 homers, 110 RBIs and 87 runs scored.

The Diamondbacks have lost 1.3 units and are 57-43 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has cashed in 40 of those games, compared to 53 that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Reds have lost 3.1 units and are 19-13 ATS when facing a lefty starter. The over has hit in 12 of those games, compared to 18 that went under the total.

Diamondbacks vs. Reds MLB Prediction

Predictions: SU Winner – Reds, ATS Winner – Reds, O/U – OVER

Betting Notes

  • The over has cashed in three of Arizona’s last seven games.
  • The Diamondbacks have a team OPS of .777 this season and an OPS of .741 when facing right-handed pitchers. The Reds’ OPS stands at .747 overall and .735 against righties.
  • The Diamondbacks have won nine of their last 10 games SU.
  • Arizona has posted 25.7 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 25.0 over its last five.
  • The Diamondbacks have hit 15 home runs in their last 10 games, including eight over their last five.