Javier Baez and the Chicago Cubs will make a road trip to Milwaukee to face a divisional nemesis in the Brewers at Miller Park. NBC Sports Chicago will be televising the action and the game gets underway at 7:10 p.m. ET.
Chicago Cubs vs. Milwaukee Brewers Odds
Las Vegas has Milwaukee (+120) as the underdog to Chicago (-130). If you’re thinking the game’s total is going to go under 9 runs, then Vegas is currently offering -120 odds. Playing the over can give you even money (+100). There’s a runline of Cubs -1.5 (+115) and Brewers +1.5 (-135) for this matchup.
The Cubs have gone 75-63 SU this year and are 66-72 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 1.9 units for moneyline bettors and 5.3 units ATS. The Brewers, on the other hand, are 71-67 SU and 61-77 ATS. The team has lost 6.7 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 22.3 units ATS.
Milwaukee games have a 59-74-5 over/under record in 2019. The Cubs have an over/under record of 61-66-11.
Jose Quintana is getting the nod for the visiting Cubs. The left-handed Quintana is 12-8 with a 3.90 ERA and 137 strikeouts. He’s 2-2 with 20 strikeouts and a 5.54 ERA against Milwaukee this year (five starts).
The Brewers will put the ball in the right hand of Chase Anderson (6-4, 4.58 ERA, 1.29 WHIP), who has 106 strikeouts and 41 walks. Anderson is 1-1 with 11 strikeouts and a 6.00 ERA over two starts against Chicago this year.
Chicago’s pitchers have allowed 4.3 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 3.98 ERA, 1.27 WHIP and 8.77 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.10, along with a WHIP of 1.27.
The Cubs offense has slashed .251/.332/.449 on its way to 4.9 runs scored per game this year, including 4.7 runs per game against divisional foes and 3.6 per game over the team’s last five outings (3-2 SU).
Shortstop Javier Baez and third baseman Kris Bryant continue to lead Chicago’s offense. Baez is slashing .281/.316/.532 with 29 home runs, 85 RBIs and 88 runs scored, while Bryant (.280/.379/.513) is up to 26 homers, 64 RBIs and 96 runs scored.
For the home team, Milwaukee’s pitching staff has given up 4.9 runs per game overall in 2019. Its starters have a 4.67 ERA, 1.39 WHIP and 8.4 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 4.55 ERA, 1.33 WHIP and 9.9 K/9. In 63 games against divisional foes, Brewers starters have an ERA of 5.04 and the bullpen’s ERA is 4.78.
The Milwaukee offense is putting up 4.7 runs per contest, including 4.6 per game against divisional foes and 2.6 per game over its last five. The team has a slash-line of .222/.296/.345 over its last five matchups and is 3-2 SU during that span.
Outfielder Christian Yelich and second baseman Mike Moustakas have led the charge for the Brewers’ offense this year. Yelich is slashing .326/.422/.672 with 43 home runs, 93 RBIs, 96 runs and 26 steals, and the line for Moustakas stands at .260/.331/.522 with 31 homers, 76 RBIs and 71 runs scored.
The Cubs have gained 5.4 units and are 54-54 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this year. The over has hit in 49 of those games, compared to 50 that’ve hit the under in such games. On the other hand, the Brewers have lost 5.0 units and are 17-26 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in 13 of those games, compared to 27 which went under the total.
Cubs at Brewers MLB Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Cubs, ATS Winner – Cubs, O/U – OVER
Betting Trends
- The under has hit in five of Chicago’s last seven games.
- The Brewers have won three of their last four games SU.
- Milwaukee has posted 17.6 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 17.8 over its last five.
- The Cubs have hit 16 home runs in their last 10 games. The Brewers have hit nine over their last 10.
- The Cubs have a team OPS of .781 this season and an OPS of .797 against right-handed pitchers. The Brewers’ OPS stands at .770 overall and .780 versus righties.
