The Houston Astros will be squaring off against the Milwaukee Brewers in a Tuesday showdown. The opening pitch is scheduled for 7:40 p.m. ET and ATTSN Southwest will broadcast this interleague matchup.
Houston Astros vs. Milwaukee Brewers Odds
Houston (receiving -165) is coming into this one as the favorite over Milwaukee (+155) and oddsmakers have the Over/Under for this one at 8.5 runs (-120 for the over and +100 for the under). Bettors can also wager on the game’s spread with the current runline odds sitting at -115 for the Astros -1.5 runs and -105 for the Brewers +1.5 runs.
The Astros are 90-49 SU and have gone 74-64 against the spread (ATS). They’ve gained 1.1 units for moneyline bettors, despite having lost 0.1 units ATS. The Brewers, on the other hand, are 70-67 SU and 59-77 ATS. The team has lost 7.0 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 24.3 units ATS.
Milwaukee games have an over/under record of 59-72-5 in 2019. The Astros have also been a decent under bet with a total record of 62-71-5.
Right-hander Zack Greinke is projected to start for the visiting Astros. Greinke is 14-4 with a 2.99 ERA and 158 strikeouts. He’s 0-0 with nine strikeouts and a 2.57 ERA against Milwaukee this year.
The Brewers will send righty Jordan Lyles (9-8, 4.47 ERA) to the mound. Lyles has 122 strikeouts and 47 walks to his credit, along with a WHIP of 1.36. Lyles has yet to face the Astros this year and did not record a start against them in 2018.
Milwaukee’s pitchers have allowed 5.0 runs per game overall in 2019 as a unit. The club’s starting pitching staff has a 4.68 ERA, 1.39 WHIP and 8.5 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 4.57 ERA, 1.34 WHIP and 9.8 K/9.
The Milwaukee offense has put up 4.7 runs per contest, including 3.0 per game over its last 10 games and 2.6 per game over its last five. The team has hit .207/.287/.331 over its last five games and is 3-2 SU during that span.
The Brewers’ offense has been led by right fielder Christian Yelich and second baseman Mike Moustakas. Yelich is slashing .326/.421/.672 with 43 home runs, 93 RBIs, 96 runs and 26 stolen bases, while the line for Moustakas stands at .260/.331/.522 with 31 homers, 76 RBIs and 71 runs scored.
For the visiting squad, Houston’s pitching staff allowed 4.0 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 3.64 ERA, 1.10 WHIP and 10.42 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 3.79, along with a K/9 of 9.71.
Astros hitters have slashed .274/.355/.487 on their way to 5.5 runs scored per game this year, including 6.8 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 4.8 per game over the team’s last five outings (3-2 SU).
Left fielder Michael Brantley and first baseman Yuli Gurriel continue to lead Houston’s hitters. Brantley is slashing .327/.388/.525 with 19 home runs, 80 RBIs and 82 runs scored, while Gurriel is hitting .307/.350/.550 with 27 homers, 97 RBIs and 78 runs scored.
The Astros have lost 8.7 units and are 53-47 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has cashed in 48 of those games, compared to 49 that’ve gone under against right-handed starting pitchers. On the other hand, the Brewers have lost 2.0 units and are 42-51 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in 46 of those games, as opposed to 45 which went under the total.
Astros vs. Brewers MLB Prediction
Predictions: SU Winner – Astros, ATS Winner – Astros, O/U – UNDER
Betting Notes
- The under has cashed in just two of Houston’s last seven games.
- The Astros have a total OPS of .842 this season and an OPS of .817 against right-handed pitchers. The Brewers’ OPS sits at .770 overall and .780 versus righties.
- Milwaukee has recorded 18.2 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 16.6 over its last five.
- The Astros have hit 16 home runs in their last 10 games. The Brewers have hit 10 over their last 10.
