The Cincinnati Reds are playing host to the Philadelphia Phillies at Great American Ball Park. Fox Sports Ohio will be televising this NL matchup and the opening pitch is scheduled for 6:40 p.m. ET.
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Cincinnati Reds Odds
Philadelphia (receiving +110) is entering this game as the underdog against Cincinnati (-120) and oddsmakers have put the Over/Under for this night game at 9.5 runs (-120 for the over and +100 for the under). Gamblers can also bet on the game’s spread with the most recent runline odds sitting at Phillies +1.5 runs (-190) and Reds -1.5 runs (+165).
The Reds are 76-61 against the spread (ATS)despite being only 64-74 straight up (SU). They’ve lost 7.8 units for bettors taking the moneyline while gaining 6.1 units ATS. Cincinnati has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the under has hit in four of those seven. On the other hand, the Phillies are 71-65 SU and have gone 62-73 against the spread. In total, the team’s lost 6.0 units for gamblers taking the moneyline and 11.8 units ATS. Philadelphia has covered the spread only twice over its last seven games and the under has hit in four of those seven.
Reds games have a 53-77-7 over/under record in 2019. The Phillies have an over/under record of 64-67-4.
Vince Velasquez is getting the nod for Philadelphia. The right-handed Velasquez (6-7, 4.86 ERA) has racked up 103 punchouts in 96.1 innings so far. He’s 0-0 with four strikeouts and a 0.00 ERA against Cincinnati this year.
The Reds are putting the ball in the hands of righty Lucas Sims (2-1, 4.99 ERA), who’s got 44 punchouts and 13 walks, along with a WHIP of 1.11. Sims has yet to face the Phillies this year and did not register a start against them in 2018.
As a unit, Cincinnati’s pitchers have allowed 4.4 runs per game overall this season. Its starters have an ERA of 4.06, a WHIP of 1.25 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 9.7. The bullpen has a 4.52 ERA, 1.34 WHIP and 9.9 K/9.
Cincinnati’s offense is putting up 4.5 runs per contest, including 4.7 per game over its last 10 games and 3.4 per game over its last five. The team’s hit .182/.261/.358 over its last five contests and is 1-4 SU during that span.
Third baseman Eugenio Suarez and shortstop Jose Iglesias have led the Reds’ batters this year. Suarez is slashing .261/.342/.546 with 40 home runs, 87 RBIs and 77 runs scored, while Iglesias is hitting .296 with nine homers, 50 RBIs and 56 runs scored.
In the visiting dugout, Philadelphia’s pitchers have allowed 4.9 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 4.57 ERA, 1.35 WHIP and 8.07 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.65, along with a WHIP of 1.35 and a K/9 of 8.87.
Phillies hitters have slashed .248/.326/.426 on their way to 4.9 runs scored per game this season, including 6.4 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 6.4 per game over the team’s last five contests (3-2 SU).
Philadelphia’s offense has been led by second baseman Cesar Hernandez and shortstop Jean Segura. Hernandez is hitting .282/.335/.394 with eight home runs, 57 RBIs and 63 runs scored. Segura (.287/.334/.435) is up to 11 homers, 53 RBIs and 71 runs scored.
The Reds have lost 6.2 units and are 57-49 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over’s hit in 41 of those games, compared to 60 that’ve gone under against right-handed starting pitchers.
Phillies at Reds Free Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Reds, ATS Winner – Phillies, O/U – OVER
Betting Trends
- Philadelphia has recorded 24 extra-base hits over its last five outings. Cincinnati has 14 XBH over its last five.
- The Phillies have hit 15 home runs in their last 10 games, including eight over their last five.
- The Phillies have a total OPS of .752 this season and an OPS of .743 against right-handed pitchers. The Reds’ OPS sits at .745 overall and .732 versus righties.
- Cincinnati has posted 19.7 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 15.0 over its last five.
