New York Mets at Washington Nationals Betting Preview

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Amed Rosario and the New York Mets are paying a visit to Washington to square off against a divisional nemesis in the Nationals at Nationals Park. SportsNet New York will be televising the action and the game is scheduled to get underway at 1:05 p.m. ET.

New York Mets vs. Washington Nationals Odds

Washington (+100) is coming into this one as the underdog against New York (-110) and oddsmakers have put the Over/Under for this game at 9.5 runs (+100 for the over and -120 for the under). This game currently has a runline of Mets -1.5 (+135) and Nationals +1.5 (-155).

The Nationals are 77-58 straight up (SU) and 76-58 against the spread (ATS). They’ve gained 0.6 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 14.4 units ATS. Washington has covered the spread five times in its last seven games and the total has gone over in four of those seven. On the other hand, the Mets are 69-67 SU and have gone 69-66 against the spread. In total, the club has lost 7.5 units for moneyline bettors and 5.0 units ATS. New York is 3-4 ATS over its last seven games and the total has gone under in four of those seven.

Washington games have a 63-64-7 over/under record in 2019. New York has been a good over bet with a total record of 68-55-12.

Right-hander Noah Syndergaard will get the nod for the visiting Mets. Syndergaard is 9-7 with a 4.14 ERA and 161 strikeouts. He’s 1-1 with 24 strikeouts and a 3.33 ERA against Washington this year (four starts).

The Nationals are putting the ball in the right hand of Joe Ross (3-3, 5.36 ERA, 1.65 WHIP), who has 41 strikeouts and 26 walks. Ross is 0-0 with three strikeouts and a 10.80 ERA against New York this year.

New York’s pitching staff allowed 4.7 runs per game and its starters own a 3.99 ERA, 1.25 WHIP and 9.11 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 5.02, along with a K-per-9 of 9.60.

Mets hitters have slashed .257/.328/.435 on their way to 4.8 runs scored per game this season, including 4.9 runs per game against divisional foes and 5.4 per game over the team’s last five outings (2-3 SU).

New York’s hitters have been paced by shortstop Amed Rosario and left fielder Jeff McNeil. Rosario is slashing .286/.323/.432 with 12 home runs, 58 RBIs, 65 runs and 15 steals, while McNeil (.323/.389/.519) is up to 16 homers, 57 RBIs and 68 runs scored.

In the other dugout, Washington’s pitching staff has given up 4.5 runs per game overall this year. The club’s starting pitching staff has a 3.47 ERA, 1.19 WHIP and 9.6 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 5.86 ERA, 1.48 WHIP and 9.1 K/9. In 58 divisional games, Nationals starters have an ERA of 3.41 and the bullpen’s ERA is 6.53.

The Washington hitters are putting up 5.4 runs per outing, including 5.6 per game against divisional foes and 6.2 per game over their last five. The team has slashed .264/.330/.528 over its last five games and is 4-1 SU during that stretch.

Third baseman Anthony Rendon and right fielder Adam Eaton have led the charge for the Nationals’ offense this year. Rendon is hitting .337/.417/.639 with 32 home runs, 111 RBIs and 102 runs scored, and Eaton’s line is .288/.377/.436 with 12 homers, 42 RBIs, 90 runs and 13 stolen bases.

The Mets have lost 0.8 units and are 51-50 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has cashed in 54 of those games, compared to 38 that’ve gone under against right-handed starting pitchers. On the other hand, the Nationals have netted 0.3 units and are 57-43 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over has cashed in 48 of those games, compared to 49 that went under the total.

Mets at Nationals Free Prediction

Predictions: SU Winner – Nationals, ATS Winner – Nationals, O/U – OVER

Betting Trends

  • The over has hit in three of New York’s last seven games.
  • The Nationals have won nine of their last 10 games SU.
  • New York has recorded 20.4 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 24.6 over its last five.
  • The Mets have hit 11 home runs in their last 10 games, including seven over their last five.
  • The Mets have an OPS of .763 this season and an OPS of .752 against right-handed pitchers. The Nationals’ OPS stands at .799 overall and .782 versus righties.