Seattle Mariners at Chicago Cubs Betting Preview

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Domingo Santana and the Seattle Mariners will head east to face the Chicago Cubs at Wrigley Field. The first pitch is scheduled for 2:20 p.m. ET and WGN will be showing this interleague showdown.

Seattle Mariners vs. Chicago Cubs Odds

The Mariners are 58-80 SU and are 69-68 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 13.8 units for moneyline bettors and 9.1 units ATS. The Cubs, on the other hand, are 73-63 SU and 64-71 ATS. They’ve lost 2.6 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 6.3 units ATS.

Cubs games have an over/under record of 61-63-11 in 2019. Seattle has been a strong over bet with a total record of 76-51-10.

The southpaw Justus Sheffield will get the nod for Seattle. Sheffield is 0-1 with a 7.94 ERA and 11 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Cubs this year and did not record a start against them in 2018, either.

The Cubs are putting the ball in the hands of righty Kyle Hendricks (9-9, 3.47 ERA), who has 125 strikeouts and 29 walks as well as a 1.12 WHIP. Hendricks did not record a start against the Mariners in 2018.

Seattle’s pitchers have allowed 5.6 runs per game and its starters own a 5.28 ERA, 1.41 WHIP and 6.98 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.84, along with a K/9 of 8.59.

The Mariners offense has slashed .242/.322/.438 on its way to 4.9 runs scored per game this year, including 4.3 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 4.8 per game over the team’s last five outings (2-3 SU).

Seattle’s offensive production has been powered by outfielders Domingo Santana and Mallex Smith. Santana is hitting .256/.332/.449 with 21 home runs, 69 RBIs and 63 runs scored, while Smith is hitting .242 with six homers, 35 RBIs, 65 runs and 39 steals.

For the home team, Chicago’s pitching staff has yielded 4.4 runs per game overall this season. Its starters have a 4.03 ERA, 1.27 WHIP and 8.7 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 4.13 ERA, 1.35 WHIP and 8.8 K/9.

The Chicago hitters are putting up 4.9 runs per outing, including 3.7 per game over its last 10 games and 4.2 per game over their last five. The team’s hit .238/.306/.433 over its last five games and is 3-2 SU during that stretch.

The Cubs’ offense has been led by shortstop Javier Baez and third baseman Kris Bryant. Baez is hitting .281/.316/.532 with 29 home runs, 85 RBIs, 88 runs and 11 stolen bases, while Bryant’s line is .282/.379/.516 with 26 homers, 64 RBIs and 95 runs.

The Mariners have lost 3.6 units and are 50-43 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this year. The over has cashed in 53 of those games, as opposed to 32 that’ve hit the under in such games. On the other hand, the Cubs have lost 7.0 units and are 11-17 ATS when facing a lefty starter. The over’s cashed in 12 of those games, compared to 14 that went under the total.

Mariners vs. Cubs Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – Cubs, ATS Winner – Mariners, O/U – OVER

Betting Notes

  • The under has hit in six of Seattle’s last seven games.
  • Chicago has posted 17.5 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 games and 19.8 over its last five.
  • The Mariners have hit 10 home runs in their last 10 games. The Cubs have hit 13 over their last 10.
  • The Mariners have a total OPS of .760 this season and an OPS of .754 against right-handed pitchers. The Cubs’ OPS stands at .780 overall and .796 versus righties.