The Cincinnati Reds are set to face off against the St. Louis Cardinals at Busch Stadium in the 1 game of their NL Central doubleheader. Fox Sports Ohio will showcase the action and the game gets underway at 1:05 p.m. ET.
Cincinnati Reds vs. St. Louis Cardinals Odds
St. Louis (receiving -145 odds) is favored over Cincinnati and Vegas has set the Over/Under for this afternoon game at 8.5 runs (-115 for the over and -105 for the under). Bettors can also wager on the game’s spread with the runline odds standing at Reds +1.5 runs (-160) and Cardinals -1.5 runs (+140).
The Reds have gone 63-72 SU this year and are 74-59 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 5.8 units for moneyline bettors, despite having gained 6.5 units ATS. Cincinnati has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the over has hit in four of those seven. The Cardinals, on the other hand, are 75-59 SU and 70-62 ATS. The team’s gained 3.0 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 5.8 units ATS. St. Louis has covered the spread five times in its last seven games and the over has cashed in four of those seven.
Cardinals games have a 52-70-10 over/under record in 2019. The Reds have also been a strong under bet with a total record of 52-75-6.
Right-hander Tyler Mahle will get the start for the visiting Reds. Mahle (2-10, 4.93 ERA) has recorded 106 strikeouts in 102.1 innings so far. He’s 0-1 with seven strikeouts and a 7.84 ERA against St. Louis this year (two starts).
The Cardinals are putting the ball in the right hand of Miles Mikolas (8-13, 4.32 ERA), who’s got 119 punchouts and 25 walks as well as a 1.23 WHIP. Mikolas is 0-3 with 16 strikeouts and a 6.43 ERA across four starts against Cincinnati this year.
As a unit, St. Louis’ pitching staff has given up 4.1 runs per game overall this season. The club’s starters have an ERA of 4.08, a WHIP of 1.34 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 8.2. The bullpen has a 3.66 ERA, 1.17 WHIP and 9.8 K/9. In 61 games against divisional foes, Cardinals starters have an ERA of 4.25 and the bullpen’s ERA is 4.01.
St. Louis’ hitters are putting up 4.7 runs per outing, including 5.1 per game against divisional foes and 6.4 per game over their last five. The team has slashed .289/.369/.491 over its last five games and is 4-1 SU during that span.
First baseman Paul Goldschmidt and shortstop Paul DeJong have led the way for the Cardinals’ offense this year. Goldschmidt is hitting .258/.333/.462 with 29 home runs, 73 RBIs and 82 runs scored, and DeJong’s line is .245/.329/.455 with 24 homers, 65 RBIs and 86 runs.
In the other dugout, Cincinnati’s pitching staff allowed 4.4 runs per game and its starters own a 4.06 ERA, 1.26 WHIP and 9.74 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 4.51, along with a K/9 of 9.83.
Reds hitters have slashed .248/.318/.429 on their way to 4.5 runs scored per game in 2019, including 4.8 runs per game against divisional foes and 4.8 per game over the team’s last five contests (2-3 SU).
Third baseman Eugenio Suarez and shortstop Jose Iglesias continue to lead Cincinnati’s hitters. Suarez is hitting .260/.340/.543 with 39 home runs, 85 RBIs and 76 runs scored, while Iglesias is hitting .294/.323/.414 with nine homers, 49 RBIs and 55 runs scored.
The Reds have lost 4.1 units and are 55-47 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has hit in 40 of those games, compared to 58 that’ve gone under against right-handed starting pitchers. On the other hand, the Cardinals have netted 4.3 units and are 58-47 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over’s hit in 39 of those games, as opposed to 60 that’ve gone under.
Reds vs. Cardinals Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Cardinals, ATS Winner – Reds, O/U – OVER
Betting Notes
- Cincinnati has recorded 16 extra-base hits over its last five outings. St. Louis has 20 XBH over its last five.
- The Reds have an OPS of .748 this season and an OPS of .735 against right-handed pitchers. The Cardinals’ OPS sits at .736 overall and .734 against righties.
- The Cardinals have won eight of their last nine games SU.
- St. Louis has recorded 26.4 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 26.4 over its last five.
- The Reds have hit 17 home runs in their last 10 games, including nine over their last five.
