The San Diego Padres will square off against their in-state foe San Francisco Giants in a Sunday showdown. Fox Sports San Diego will televise the matchup. The game is scheduled to get underway at 4:05 p.m. ET.
San Diego Padres vs. San Francisco Giants Odds
For anyone looking to play the moneyline, each team is receiving identical odds (-105) and Vegas has set the Over/Under for this afternoon game at 8.5 runs (+100 for the over and -120 for the under). Gamblers can also wager on the game’s runline with the odds standing at Padres -1.5 runs (+140) and Giants +1.5 runs (-160).
The Giants are 66-69 straight up (SU) and 70-64 against the spread (ATS). They’ve gained 11.7 units for bettors taking the moneyline while earning 10.6 units ATS. San Francisco has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the under has hit in three of those seven. The Padres, on the other hand, are 63-72 SU and have gone 63-71 ATS. Overall, the team’s lost 13.7 units for gamblers taking the moneyline and 14.5 units ATS. San Diego has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the over has cashed in four of those seven.
Giants games have an over/under record of 65-61-8 in 2019. The Padres have an over/under record of 65-61-8.
Eric Lauer will get the nod for San Diego. The southpaw Lauer is 7-8 with a 4.48 ERA and 106 strikeouts. He’s 2-0 with 12 strikeouts and a 3.38 ERA against San Francisco this year (two starts).
The Giants are putting the ball in the right hand of Jeff Samardzija (9-10, 3.38 ERA, 1.09 WHIP), who has 126 strikeouts and 42 walks this season. Samardzija is 1-0 with 14 strikeouts and a 1.42 ERA across three starts against San Diego this year.
As a unit, San Francisco’s pitchers have allowed 4.8 runs per game overall this year. The team’s starting pitching staff has an ERA of 4.74, a WHIP of 1.35 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 8.2. The bullpen has a 4.01 ERA, 1.27 WHIP and 8.7 K/9. In 66 games against NL West opponents, Giants starters have an ERA of 4.30 and the bullpen’s ERA is 4.05.
The San Francisco hitters are putting up 4.4 runs per contest, including 4.6 per game against divisional foes and 3.6 per game over their last five. The team has slashed .253/.305/.374 over its last five games and is 1-4 SU during that span.
Kevin Pillar and Brandon Belt have led the Giants’ offense this year. Pillar is slashing .265/.293/.460 with 19 home runs, 73 RBIs, 70 runs and 11 steals, while Belt’s line is .234/.345/.403 with 16 homers, 54 RBIs and 69 runs.
In the visiting dugout, San Diego’s pitching staff allowed 4.8 runs per game and its starters own a 4.54 ERA, 1.27 WHIP and 8.42 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 4.55, along with a K-per-9 of 9.86.
The Padres offense has slashed .243/.311/.423 on its way to 4.4 runs scored per game in 2019, including 4.4 runs per game against divisional foes and 3.2 per game over the team’s last five outings (2-3 SU).
San Diego’s hitters have been paced by first baseman Eric Hosmer and third baseman Manny Machado, who collectively have launched 48 home runs. Hosmer is slashing .282/.327/.448 with 20 home runs, 89 RBIs and 65 runs scored, while Machado (.266/.336/.478) has produced 28 homers, 75 RBIs and 73 runs scored.
The Padres have lost 5.0 units and are 48-56 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has hit in 53 of those games, compared to 44 that’ve gone under against right-handed starting pitchers. On the other hand, the Giants have netted 0.3 units and are 17-22 ATS when facing a lefty starter. The over’s hit in 18 of those games, compared to 20 that went under.
Padres vs. Giants MLB Prediction
Predictions: SU Winner – Giants, ATS Winner – Giants, O/U – UNDER
Betting Notes
- The under has hit in three of San Francisco’s last seven games.
- The Padres have a team OPS of .734 this season and an OPS of .711 when facing right-handed pitchers. The Giants’ OPS stands at .715 overall and .710 against righties.
- San Diego has recorded 15.5 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 17.6 over its last five.
- The Padres have hit eight home runs in their last 10 games, including five over their last five.
