The Minnesota Twins are ready to take on their divisional rival Detroit Tigers in a Saturday showdown. Fox Sports North will broadcast the action and the game is scheduled to get underway at 6:10 p.m. ET.
Minnesota Twins at Detroit Tigers Odds
Minnesota (-135) is favored over Detroit (+125) and Vegas has put the Over/Under for this night game at 9.5 runs (-110 for the over and -110 for the under). Runline odds stand at +110 for taking the Twins -1.5 runs and -130 for the Tigers +1.5.
The Twins have gone 83-51 SU this year and are 75-58 against the spread (ATS). They’ve gained 17.3 units for moneyline gamblers and 12.4 units ATS. Minnesota’s covered the spread five times in its last seven games and the total has gone over in four of those seven. The Tigers, on the other hand, are 39-93 SU and 53-78 ATS. They’ve lost 33.4 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 32.0 units ATS. Detroit has covered the spread only once in its last seven games and the over has cashed in five of those seven.
Tigers games have had an over/under record of 59-63-9 in 2019. Twins games have gone over 70 times, gone under 58 times and pushed on five occasions.
Martin Perez will get the nod for the visiting Twins. The southpaw Perez is 9-5 with a 4.53 ERA and 116 strikeouts. He’s 1-1 with 12 strikeouts and a 4.09 ERA against Detroit this year (two starts).
The Tigers will turn to lefty Matthew Boyd (6-10, 4.47 ERA), who has 208 strikeouts and 42 walks, in addition to a WHIP of 1.18. Boyd is 0-1 with 15 strikeouts and a 6.92 ERA across two starts against Minnesota this year.
Detroit’s pitchers have given up 5.6 runs per game overall this season as a unit. Its starting pitching staff has a 5.30 ERA, 1.41 WHIP and 8.6 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 4.99 ERA, 1.48 WHIP and 8.2 K/9. In 57 games against divisional foes, Tigers starters have an ERA of 6.41 and the bullpen’s ERA is 5.28.
The Detroit hitters are putting up 3.6 runs per contest, including 4.0 per game against divisional foes and 2.4 per game over their last five. The team has a slash-line of .213/.228/.329 over its last five games and is 0-5 SU during that stretch.
The Tigers’ batters have been led by Miguel Cabrera and Nicholas Castellanos. Cabrera is hitting .279/.341/.388 with nine home runs, 50 RBIs and 33 runs scored, while Castellanos has produced a line of .273/.328/.462 with 11 homers, 37 RBIs and 57 runs.
For the visiting squad, Minnesota’s pitchers have allowed 4.6 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 4.07 ERA, 1.27 WHIP and 8.36 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 4.26, along with a K-per-9 of 9.39.
The Twins offense has slashed .272/.341/.502 on its way to 5.9 runs scored per game this year, including 5.8 runs per game against divisional foes and 8.2 per game over the team’s last five outings (5-0 SU).
Shortstop Jorge Polanco and left fielder Eddie Rosario continue to lead Minnesota’s hitters. Polanco is slashing .300/.364/.493 with 19 home runs, 66 RBIs and 89 runs scored, while Rosario (.284/.307/.507) is up to 27 homers, 91 RBIs and 78 runs scored.
The Twins have lost 0.4 units and are 19-12 ATS when facing a lefty starter this season. The over has hit in 18 of those games, compared to 11 that’ve gone under against left-handed starting pitchers. On the other hand, the Tigers have lost 4.2 units and are 15-13 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in 16 of those games, compared to 10 that’ve cashed the under.
Twins vs. Tigers MLB Tip
Predictions: SU Winner – Twins, ATS Winner – Twins, O/U – UNDER
Betting Notes
- The over has cashed in five of Detroit’s last seven games.
- The Twins have an OPS of .843 this season and an OPS of .885 when facing left-handed pitchers. The Tigers’ OPS sits at .680 overall and .710 against lefties.
- The Tigers have lost seven of their last eight games SU.
- Detroit has recorded 19.6 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 16.4 over its last five.
- The Twins have hit 22 home runs in their last 10 games. The Tigers have hit 10 over their last 10.
