The Pittsburgh Pirates will take on the Colorado Rockies in a Saturday showdown. The opening pitch is scheduled for 8:10 p.m. ET and this NL showdown will be shown on either ATRM or ATPT.
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Colorado Rockies Odds
Pittsburgh (receiving -110) is favored over Colorado (+100) and Vegas has the Over/Under for this night game at 13.5 runs. The odds for betting on the game’s total currently stand at -105 for the under and -115 for the over. Bettors can also wager on the game’s spread with the most recent runline odds standing at +135 for the Pirates -1.5 runs and -155 for the Rockies +1.5.
The Rockies are 59-77 straight up (SU) and 61-74 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 12.4 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 21.1 units ATS. The Pirates are 58-77 SU and have gone 65-69 against the spread. Overall, the club has lost 10.0 units for moneyline gamblers and 20.4 units ATS.
Rockies games have an over/under record of 66-60-9 in 2019. Pittsburgh has also been a great over bet with a total record of 76-52-6.
Right-hander Joe Musgrove is the probable starter for Pittsburgh. Musgrove is 8-12 with a 4.67 ERA and 131 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Rockies this year and only made one start against them in 2018 (0-1, 1.29 ERA and two strikeouts across seven innings).
The Rockies will put the ball in the right hand of Tim Melville (1-0, 0.75 ERA, 1.00 WHIP), who has 10 punchouts and five walks this season. Melville did not accrue any MLB appearances last season.
Colorado’s pitching staff has allowed 5.9 runs per game overall this season as a unit. The club’s starting pitching staff has an ERA of 5.93, a WHIP of 1.51 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 7.6. The bullpen has a 5.19 ERA, 1.47 WHIP and 8.3 K/9.
The Colorado offense has put up 5.3 runs per outing, including 4.4 per game over its last 10 games and 5.0 per game over its last five. The team has hit .303/.347/.483 over its last five games and is 1-4 SU during that span.
The Rockies’ batters have been led by third baseman Nolan Arenado and right fielder Charlie Blackmon. Arenado is slashing .310/.369/.572 with 34 home runs, 103 RBIs and 90 runs scored, while Blackmon’s line is .317/.362/.582 with 27 homers, 74 RBIs and 98 runs scored.
In the other dugout, Pittsburgh’s pitchers have allowed 5.5 runs per game and its starters own a 5.27 ERA, 1.43 WHIP and 8.36 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.89, along with a WHIP of 1.43.
The Pirates offense has slashed .266/.325/.427 on its way to 4.7 runs scored per game this season, including 6.1 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 6.6 per game over the team’s last five outings (3-2 SU).
Pittsburgh’s offense has been sparked by right fielder Starling Marte and first baseman Josh Bell. Marte is slashing .297/.341/.510 with 23 home runs, 77 RBIs, 94 runs and 25 stolen bases. Bell (.278/.366/.577) has produced 34 homers, 108 RBIs and 90 runs scored.
The Pirates have lost 2.6 units and are 49-49 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this year. The over has hit in 52 of those games, as opposed to 41 that’ve hit the under against righties. On the other hand, the Rockies have lost 7.9 units and are 35-51 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in 45 of those games, compared to 37 which went under the total.
Pirates vs. Rockies Free MLB Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Rockies, ATS Winner – Rockies, O/U – OVER
Betting Notes
- The under has hit in only two of Pittsburgh’s last seven games.
- The Pirates have an OPS of .752 this season and an OPS of .774 against right-handed pitchers. The Rockies’ OPS stands at .786 overall and .772 versus righties.
- The Rockies have lost eight of their last nine games SU.
- Colorado has posted 22.6 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 26.6 over its last five.
- The Pirates have hit 12 home runs in their last 10 games, including nine over their last five.
