The streaking Chicago Cubs are searching for their fifth consecutive win as they play host to the Milwaukee Brewers at Wrigley Field. The action will begin at 2:20 p.m. ET and NBC Sports Chicago will be airing the game.
Milwaukee Brewers at Chicago Cubs Odds
The Cubs are 73-61 straight up (SU) and 63-70 against the spread (ATS). The team hasn’t moved the needle a lot for gamblers, losing 1.9 units for moneyline bettors and 6.9 units ATS. Chicago has a 3-4 ATS record over its last seven games and the total has gone under in three of those seven. The Brewers are 68-66 SU and have gone 57-76 against the spread. In total, the team’s lost 8.8 units for moneyline gamblers and 24.5 units ATS. Milwaukee has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the under has hit in six of those seven.
Chicago games have an over/under record of 61-62-10 in 2019. The Brewers have been a good under bet with a total record of 59-70-4.
Zach Davies will get the nod for the Brewers. The right-handed Davies is 8-7 with a 3.90 ERA and 85 strikeouts. He’s 1-2 with nine strikeouts and a 5.14 ERA against Chicago this year (four starts).
The Cubs are turning to lefty Cole Hamels (7-4, 3.73 ERA), who’s got 115 punchouts and 42 walks, in addition to a 1.33 WHIP. Hamels is 1-0 with 16 strikeouts and a 1.50 ERA over three starts against Milwaukee this year.
As a unit, Chicago’s pitchers have given up 4.4 runs per game overall in 2019. Its starters have a 4.04 ERA, 1.27 WHIP and 8.7 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 4.15 ERA, 1.35 WHIP and 8.7 K/9. In 54 games against NL Central foes, Cubs starters have an ERA of 3.56 and the bullpen’s ERA is 4.60.
The Chicago hitters are putting up 5.0 runs per contest, including 4.9 per game against divisional foes and 6.2 per game over their last five. The team has hit .267/.317/.557 over its last five games and is 4-1 SU during that stretch.
The Cubs’ hitters have been led by shortstop Javier Baez and third baseman Kris Bryant. Baez is slashing .282/.315/.535 with 29 home runs, 85 RBIs and 88 runs scored, while Bryant is batting .282 with 26 homers, 64 RBIs and 95 runs scored.
In the visiting dugout, Milwaukee’s pitching staff allowed 5.1 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 4.75 ERA, 1.39 WHIP and 8.47 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.68, along with a K/9 of 9.87.
Brewers hitters have slashed .250/.331/.442 on their way to 4.7 runs scored per game this season, including 4.6 runs per game against divisional foes and 2.4 per game over the team’s last five contests (1-4 SU).
Milwaukee’s offensive production has been sparked by right fielder Christian Yelich and second baseman Mike Moustakas, who collectively have launched 72 home runs. Yelich is slashing .331/.425/.673 with 41 home runs, 89 RBIs, 93 runs and 25 stolen bases, while Moustakas is hitting .263/.334/.528 with 31 homers, 76 RBIs and 71 runs scored.
The Brewers have lost 5.6 units and are 16-25 ATS when facing a lefty starter this season. The over has cashed in 13 of those games, compared to 26 that’ve gone under against left-handed starting pitchers. On the other hand, the Cubs have netted 5.1 units and are 52-53 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over’s hit in 49 of those games, as opposed to 48 that’ve gone under.
Brewers at Cubs Free Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Cubs, ATS Winner – Brewers, O/U – OVER
Betting Trends
- The under has hit in three of Chicago’s last seven games.
- The Brewers have hit eight home runs in their last 10 games. The Cubs have hit 19 over their last 10.
- The Brewers have a team OPS of .774 this season, including an OPS of .759 against left-handed pitchers. The Cubs’ OPS stands at .784 overall and .741 against southpaws.
- Chicago has posted 21.8 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 games and 25.0 over its last five.
