The Miami Marlins will head north to play their NL East rival Washington Nationals at Nationals Park. The action will get going at 7:05 p.m. ET and Mid-Atlantic Sports Network is in line to televise the game.
Miami Marlins vs. Washington Nationals Odds
Oddsmakers are listing Washington (-255) as the favorite over Miami (+230). Bettors can wager on the game’s total with odds sitting at -115 for over 10 runs and -105 for under 10. Gamblers can also bet on the game’s spread with the current runline odds sitting at +105 for the Marlins +1.5 runs and -125 for the Nationals -1.5.
The Nationals are 74-58 straight up (SU) and 75-57 against the spread (ATS). The team’s lost 1.4 units for moneyline bettors while gaining 14.6 units ATS. Washington has covered the spread six times in its last seven games and the total went over in four of those seven. The Marlins have gone 48-85 SU this year and are 65-67 against the spread. In total, the club has lost 11.8 units for moneyline bettors and 12.2 units ATS. Miami is 3-4 ATS over its last seven games and the over has cashed in four of those seven.
Neither team has positioned itself as a strong over/under bet this year. Washington games have a 62-63-7 over/under record in 2019. Miami has an over/under record of 61-61-10.
Right-hander Elieser Hernandez will get the nod for the visiting Marlins. Hernandez is 3-5 with a 4.97 ERA and 65 strikeouts. He’s 0-1 with six strikeouts and a 6.23 ERA against Washington this year.
The Nationals are handing the ball to righty Anibal Sanchez (8-6, 3.81 ERA), who’s got 110 strikeouts and 48 walks, along with a 1.32 WHIP. Sanchez is 1-1 with eight strikeouts and a 3.18 ERA over two starts against Miami this year.
As a unit, Washington’s pitchers have given up 4.5 runs per game overall this year. Its starters have an ERA of 3.50, a WHIP of 1.20 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 9.5. The bullpen has a 5.89 ERA, 1.49 WHIP and 9.1 K/9. In 55 games against divisional opponents, Nationals starters have an ERA of 3.47 and the bullpen’s ERA is 6.63.
Washington’s offense has put up 5.3 runs per contest, including 5.5 per game against divisional foes and 6.2 per game over its last five. The team has a slash-line of .295/.377/.426 over its last five matchups and is 4-1 SU during that stretch.
The Nationals’ offense has been led by third baseman Anthony Rendon and right fielder Adam Eaton. Rendon is hitting .329/.408/.616 with 29 home runs, 104 RBIs and 96 runs scored, and Eaton’s line is .288/.375/.436 with 12 homers, 42 RBIs, 90 runs and 13 stolen bases.
For the visitors, Miami’s pitching staff allowed 4.9 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 4.50 ERA, 1.27 WHIP and 8.35 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 5.06, along with a K-per-9 of 9.37.
Marlins hitters have slashed .241/.299/.370 on their way to 3.7 runs scored per game this year, including 3.7 runs per game against divisional foes and 3.0 per game over the team’s last five contests (2-3 SU).
Miami’s hitters have been paced by second baseman Starlin Castro and third baseman Brian Anderson. Castro is hitting .263/.285/.394 with 14 home runs, 68 RBIs and 45 runs scored, while Anderson is slashing .261/.342/.468 with 20 homers, 66 RBIs and 57 runs scored.
The Marlins have lost 9.8 units and are 46-53 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this season. The over has cashed in 43 of those games, as opposed to 49 that’ve hit the under against righties. On the other hand, the Nationals have lost 1.8 units and are 56-42 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over’s hit in 47 of those games, compared to 48 that went under.
Marlins vs. Nationals Free MLB Tip
Predictions: SU Winner – Nationals, ATS Winner – Marlins, O/U – OVER
Betting Trends
- The under has cashed in only two of Washington’s last seven games.
- The Marlins have a team OPS of .669 this season and an OPS of .656 when facing right-handed pitchers. The Nationals’ OPS stands at .796 overall and .779 versus righties.
- The Nationals have won six of their last seven games SU.
- Miami has posted 20.4 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 games and 16.6 over its last five.
- The Marlins have hit 13 home runs in their last 10 games, including seven over their last five.
