Jonathan Villar and the Baltimore Orioles will make a road trip to Washington to face off against the Nationals at Nationals Park. The first pitch is scheduled for 7:05 p.m. ET and Mid-Atlantic Sports Network will broadcast this interleague showdown.
Baltimore Orioles vs. Washington Nationals Odds
Las Vegas has Baltimore (+255) as the underdog to Washington (-305). If you’re thinking this game’s total is going to go below 9.5 runs, then bookmakers are teeing up -110 odds for the under. Taking the over will give you -110 odds. There’s a runline of Orioles +1.5 (+125) and Nationals -1.5 (-145) for this matchup.
The Nationals are 73-57 straight up (SU) and 74-56 against the spread (ATS). The team has gained 0.7 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 15.0 units ATS. Washington has covered the spread six times in its last seven games and the total has gone over in four of those seven. The Orioles, on the other hand, are 43-88 SU and have gone 56-75 ATS. In total, the club has lost 14.9 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 23.6 units ATS. Baltimore has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the total has gone under in six of those seven.
Nationals games have a 61-62-7 over/under record in 2019. The Orioles have been a decent over bet with a total record of 66-56-9.
The right-handed Aaron Brooks is projected to start for the visiting Orioles. Brooks is 3-7 with a 6.21 ERA and 65 strikeouts. He’s 0-0 with a 3.38 ERA against Washington this year.
The Nationals are going with lefty Patrick Corbin (10-5, 3.17 ERA), who has 184 punchouts and 51 walks as well as a WHIP of 1.15. Corbin has yet to face the Orioles this year and did not re a start against them in 2018.
Baltimore’s pitching staff allowed 6.3 runs per game and its starters own a 5.72 ERA, 1.43 WHIP and 7.18 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 6.18, along with a WHIP of 1.43.
The Orioles offense has slashed .245/.310/.412 on its way to 4.4 runs scored per game in 2019, including 4.2 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 5.2 per game over the team’s last five outings (3-2 SU).
Second baseman Jonathan Villar and outfielder Trey Mancini have led Baltimore’s hitters. Villar is slashing .277/.347/.466 with 20 home runs, 60 RBIs, 87 runs and 28 stolen bases. Mancini is hitting .273 with 29 homers, 74 RBIs and 85 runs scored.
In the other dugout, Washington’s pitchers have yielded 4.5 runs per game overall this season. Its starting pitching staff has an ERA of 3.50, a WHIP of 1.20 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 9.5. The bullpen has a 5.94 ERA, 1.50 WHIP and 9.1 K/9.
The Washington hitters are putting up 5.4 runs per outing, including 8.7 per game over its last 10 games and 8.2 per game over their last five. The team has slashed .318/.403/.485 over its last five games and is 5-0 SU during that span.
The Nationals’ offense has been led by third baseman Anthony Rendon and right fielder Adam Eaton. Rendon is hitting .329/.407/.617 with 29 home runs, 104 RBIs and 94 runs scored, while Eaton’s line is .291/.377/.439 with 12 homers, 42 RBIs, 90 runs and 13 steals.
The Orioles have lost 2.1 units and are 21-27 ATS when facing a lefty starter this season. The over has hit in 24 of those games, compared to 20 that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Nationals have netted 0.4 units and are 55-41 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over’s hit in 46 of those games, compared to 47 that’ve gone under.
Orioles vs. Nationals Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Nationals, ATS Winner – Orioles, O/U – OVER
Betting Trends
- Baltimore has logged 19 extra-base hits over its last five outings. Washington has 21 XBH over its last five.
- The Nationals have won seven of their last eight games SU.
- Washington has recorded 33.5 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 33.4 over its last five.
- The Orioles have hit 14 home runs in their last 10 games, including 10 over their last five.
- The Orioles have a team OPS of .722 this season and an OPS of .739 against left-handed pitchers. The Nationals’ OPS sits at .797 overall and .827 against lefties.
