Cleveland Indians at Detroit Tigers Free Pick

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The Detroit Tigers are playing host to their division rival Cleveland Indians at Comerica Park. Fox Sports Detroit will broadcast the action and the first pitch is scheduled for 7:10 p.m. ET.

Cleveland Indians vs. Detroit Tigers Odds

Cleveland (-140) is entering this one as the favorite over Detroit (+130) and oddsmakers have put the Over/Under for this night game at 9 runs (-105 for the over and -115 for the under). The game’s most recent runline odds stand at +105 for taking the Indians -1.5 runs and -125 for the Tigers +1.5.

The Tigers are 39-89 straight up (SU) and 53-75 against the spread (ATS). The team has lost 30.4 units for moneyline bettors and 28.9 units ATS. Detroit has a 3-4 ATS mark over its last seven games and the total has gone over in four of those seven. The Indians are 76-55 SU and have gone 71-60 against the spread. Overall, the club has gained 1.3 units for moneyline gamblers and 9.4 units ATS. Cleveland’s covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the under has hit in four of those seven.

Tigers games have an over/under record of 58-61-9 in 2019. The Indians have been a decent under bet with a total record of 57-70-4.

Adam Plutko will get the start for the visiting Indians. The right-handed Plutko is 5-3 with a 4.54 ERA and 47 strikeouts. He’s 1-0 with seven strikeouts and a 5.56 ERA against Detroit this year (two starts).

The Tigers are putting the ball in the hands of righty Spencer Turnbull (3-12, 4.05 ERA), who’s got 109 punchouts and 47 walks, along with a 1.38 WHIP. Turnbull is 0-4 with 15 strikeouts and a 6.30 ERA across four starts against Cleveland this year.

Detroit’s pitching staff has given up 5.6 runs per game overall this season as a unit. The club’s starters have an ERA of 5.25, a WHIP of 1.40 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 8.6. The bullpen has a 5.03 ERA, 1.47 WHIP and 8.3 K/9. In 53 divisional games, Tigers starters have an ERA of 6.36 and the bullpen’s ERA is 5.40.

The Detroit hitters have produced 3.6 runs per outing, including 4.2 per game against divisional foes and 4.6 per game over their last five. The team has a slash-line of .257/.297/.417 over its last five matchups and is 2-3 SU during that span.

Miguel Cabrera and Nicholas Castellanos have led the charge for the Tigers’ hitters this year. Cabrera is slashing .280/.343/.390 with nine home runs, 50 RBIs and 33 runs scored, while Castellanos is hitting .273 with 11 homers, 37 RBIs and 57 runs scored.

In the visiting dugout, Cleveland’s pitchers have allowed 4.0 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 3.82 ERA, 1.18 WHIP and 9.63 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 3.50, along with a WHIP of 1.18 and a K-per-9 of 9.03.

Indians hitters have slashed .250/.325/.434 on their way to 4.7 runs scored per game this year, including 4.9 runs per game against divisional foes and 3.8 per game over the team’s last five contests (2-3 SU).

Cleveland’s offense has been fueled by shortstop Francisco Lindor and first baseman Carlos Santana, who collectively have swatted 53 home runs. Lindor is slashing .296/.350/.519 with 23 home runs, 56 RBIs, 76 runs and 18 stolen bases, while Santana (.288/.412/.541) is up to 30 homers, 79 RBIs and 92 runs scored.

The Indians have gained 0.1 units and are 46-42 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this season. The over has hit in 31 of those games, as opposed to 53 that’ve hit the under against righty starters. On the other hand, the Tigers have lost 26.3 units and are 38-62 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over has cashed in 42 of those games, compared to 51 that went under the total.

Indians at Tigers MLB Prediction

Predictions: SU Winner – Indians, ATS Winner – Indians, O/U – OVER

Betting Trends

  • The under has hit in four of Cleveland’s last seven games.
  • The Indians have hit 20 home runs in their last 10 games. The Tigers have hit 10 over their last 10.
  • The Indians have a team OPS of .760 this season and an OPS of .768 against right-handed pitchers. The Tigers’ OPS stands at .684 overall and .675 versus righties.
  • Detroit has recorded 21.2 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 22.6 over its last five.
  • The Tigers have lost three of their last four games SU.