Jorge Polanco and the Minnesota Twins will make a road trip to Chicago to square off against a divisional foe in the White Sox at Guaranteed Rate Field. The matchup starts at 8:10 p.m. ET and fans can catch the game on both NSC+ and FSN.
Minnesota Twins at Chicago White Sox Odds
Las Vegas has Minnesota (-125) as the favorite over Chicago (+115). If you’re thinking this game’s total is going to go under 8.5 runs, then bookmakers are teeing up even money odds (+100). Taking the over will return -120 odds. There’s a runline of Twins -1.5 (+120) and White Sox +1.5 (-140) for this matchup.
The Twins have gone 79-51 SU this year and are 72-58 against the spread (ATS). They’ve gained 14.3 units for moneyline bettors and 9.1 units ATS. Minnesota has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the over has hit in five of those seven. The White Sox, on the other hand, are 60-70 SU and 64-66 ATS. They’ve gained 12.1 units for bettors taking the moneyline while earning 6.0 units ATS. Chicago has covered the spread five times in its last seven games and the under has hit in four of those seven.
White Sox games have an over/under record of 58-67-5 in 2019. Minnesota has been a good over bet with a total record of 69-56-5.
The right-handed Michael Pineda is the projected starter for Minnesota. Pineda is 9-5 with a 4.26 ERA and 113 strikeouts. He’s 3-0 with 17 strikeouts and a 3.15 ERA against Chicago this year (three starts).
The White Sox are sending righty Lucas Giolito (14-6, 3.20 ERA) to the mound. Giolito has 194 punchouts and 51 walks to his name as well as a 1.09 WHIP. Giolito is 2-1 with 23 strikeouts and a 3.32 ERA across three starts against Minnesota this year.
Minnesota’s pitchers have allowed 4.7 runs per game and its starters own a 4.07 ERA, 1.27 WHIP and 8.26 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.37, along with a K-per-9 of 9.34.
Twins hitters have slashed .271/.339/.500 on their way to 5.9 runs scored per game in 2019, including 5.6 runs per game against divisional foes and 7.0 per game over the team’s last five contests (3-2 SU).
Minnesota’s offense has been powered by shortstop Jorge Polanco and outfielder Eddie Rosario, who have combined to blast 46 home runs. Polanco is slashing .293/.356/.489 with 19 home runs, 66 RBIs and 83 runs scored, while Rosario (.282/.307/.515) is up to 27 homers, 85 RBIs and 74 runs scored.
For the home team, Chicago’s pitching staff has given up 5.1 runs per game overall this year. The club’s starters have a 4.97 ERA, 1.41 WHIP and 8.2 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 4.49 ERA, 1.43 WHIP and 8.3 K/9. In 53 games against divisional foes, White Sox starters have an ERA of 4.55 and the bullpen’s ERA is 5.07.
The Chicago offense has produced 4.2 runs per contest, including 4.5 per game against divisional foes and 4.0 per game over its last five. The team has a slash-line of .271/.324/.404 over its last five contests and is 4-1 SU during that stretch.
Jose Abreu and Leury Garcia have led the White Sox offense this year. Abreu is hitting .279/.318/.497 with 28 home runs, 100 RBIs and 65 runs scored, while Garcia’s line is .283/.315/.389 with seven homers, 35 RBIs, 81 runs and 15 stolen bases.
The Twins have gained 15.7 units and are 54-46 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this season. The over has hit in 51 of those games, as opposed to 46 that’ve gone under against righties. On the other hand, the White Sox have lost 4.2 units and are 36-50 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over’s cashed in 37 of those games, compared to 45 that’ve gone under.
Twins at White Sox Free MLB Tip
Predictions: SU Winner – Twins, ATS Winner – Twins, O/U – OVER
Betting Notes
- The over has cashed in five of Minnesota’s last seven games.
- The White Sox have won four of their last five games SU.
- Minnesota fielders have two errors over the last five games, compared to five errors for Chicago over its last five.
- The Twins have hit 20 home runs in their last 10 games, including 12 over their last five.
- The Twins have a team OPS of .840 this season and an OPS of .821 against right-handed pitchers. The White Sox’ OPS sits at .711 overall and .696 against righties.
