Jose Iglesias and the Cincinnati Reds are set to do battle against their divisional rival Pittsburgh Pirates at PNC Park in a Sunday showdown. The game gets going at 1:35 p.m. ET and the matchup will be shown on both ATPT and FSOH.
Cincinnati Reds at Pittsburgh Pirates Odds
The Reds have gone 60-68 SU this year and are 71-56 against the spread (ATS). The team hasn’t moved the needle much this year, losing 4.8 units for moneyline gamblers, despite having gained 6.6 units ATS. Cincinnati has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the total has gone under in five of those seven. The Pirates, on the other hand, are 54-75 SU and 60-68 ATS. They’ve lost 12.6 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 24.1 units ATS. Pittsburgh has covered the spread just once in its last seven games and the under has cashed in five of those seven.
Pittsburgh games have had an over/under record of 71-51-6 in 2019. The Reds have been a strong under bet with a total record of 48-73-6.
Trevor Bauer is getting the start for the visiting Reds. The right-handed Bauer is 10-10 with a 4.06 ERA and 215 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Pirates this year and only made one start against them in 2018 (1-0, 0.00 ERA and 10 strikeouts across seven innings).
The Pirates are preparing to start righty Dario Agrazal (2-3, 4.09 ERA), who has 20 strikeouts and 12 walks as well as a 1.23 WHIP. Agrazal is 0-1 with five strikeouts and a 7.36 ERA in one start against Cincinnati this year.
Cincinnati’s pitchers have allowed 4.4 runs per game and its starters own a 3.99 ERA, 1.26 WHIP and 9.71 K/9. The bullpen has logged an ERA of 4.57, along with a WHIP of 1.26 and a K/9 of 9.82.
The Reds offense has slashed .250/.320/.428 on its way to 4.5 runs scored per game this year, including 4.8 runs per game against divisional foes and 2.2 per game over the team’s last five contests (2-3 SU).
Cincinnati’s offense has been powered by shortstop Jose Iglesias and third baseman Eugenio Suarez. Iglesias is hitting .295/.323/.421 with nine home runs, 48 RBIs and 52 runs scored, while Suarez has a .255 average with 34 homers, 78 RBIs and 68 runs scored.
For the home team, Pittsburgh’s pitchers have given up 5.5 runs per game overall this season. The club’s starters have a 5.21 ERA, 1.42 WHIP and 8.4 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 4.78 ERA, 1.46 WHIP and 9.8 K/9. In 60 games against NL Central foes, Pirates starters have an ERA of 5.22 and the bullpen’s ERA is 4.76.
The Pittsburgh offense has put up 4.6 runs per outing, including 4.6 per game against divisional foes and 4.6 per game over its last five. The team has slashed .238/.299/.344 over its last five contests and is 3-2 SU during that span.
The Pirates’ hitters have been led by right fielder Starling Marte and first baseman Josh Bell. Marte is slashing .290/.333/.500 with 22 home runs, 75 RBIs, 87 runs and 24 stolen bases, while Bell’s line is .275/.361/.574 with 32 homers, 102 RBIs and 86 runs scored.
The Reds have lost 2.0 units and are 53-44 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this year. The over has cashed in 37 of those games, as opposed to 56 that’ve gone under against righties. On the other hand, the Pirates have lost 3.9 units and are 47-48 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in 49 of those games, compared to 41 which went under the total.
Reds at Pirates MLB Prediction
Predictions: SU Winner – Pirates, ATS Winner – Reds, O/U – OVER
Betting Notes
- The over has hit in just one of Cincinnati’s last seven games.
- Cincinnati has posted 20.2 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 games and 17.4 over its last five.
- The Reds have hit 11 home runs in their last 10 games. The Pirates have hit five over their last 10.
- The Reds have a total OPS of .748 this season and an OPS of .733 against right-handed pitchers. The Pirates’ OPS sits at .743 overall and .762 versus righties.
