The Milwaukee Brewers will go for their fourth consecutive win as they play host to the Arizona Diamondbacks at Miller Park. Fox Sports Arizona will televise this NL matchup and the game gets going at 2:10 p.m. ET.
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Milwaukee Brewers Odds
Each team is receiving identical odds (-105) if you’re wanting to play the moneyline and Vegas has put the Over/Under for this day game at 9 runs (+100 for the over and -120 for the under). Runline odds stand at +140 for betting the Diamondbacks -1.5 runs and -160 for the Brewers +1.5.
The Diamondbacks have gone 64-66 SU this year and are 70-59 against the spread (ATS). The team hasn’t moved the needle a whole lot this year, losing 1.9 units for moneyline gamblers, despite having gained 5.8 units ATS. Arizona’s covered the spread only twice over its last seven games and the total has gone under in four of those seven. The Brewers, on the other hand, are 67-62 SU and 55-73 ATS. They’ve lost 7.2 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 24.1 units ATS. Milwaukee has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the total has gone under in four of those seven.
Brewers games have an over/under record of 58-66-4 in 2019. Arizona has an over/under record of 60-59-10.
Robbie Ray will get the start for the visiting Diamondbacks. The southpaw Ray (10-7, 3.99 ERA) has recorded 187 punchouts in 142 innings so far. He has yet to face the Brewers this year and did not record a start against them in 2018, either.
The Brewers are putting the ball in the right hand of Zach Davies (8-6, 3.74 ERA, 1.38 WHIP), who has 82 strikeouts and 43 walks this season. Davies is 1-0 with a 1.29 ERA in one start against Arizona this year.
As a unit, Milwaukee’s pitching staff has allowed 5.0 runs per game overall this season. The team’s starters have a 4.67 ERA, 1.38 WHIP and 8.5 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 4.69 ERA, 1.35 WHIP and 9.8 K/9.
The Milwaukee offense is putting up 4.8 runs per outing, including 5.4 per game over its last 10 games and 3.8 per game over its last five. The team’s hit .239/.351/.387 over its last five games and is 3-2 SU during that span.
The Brewers’ offense has been led by right fielder Christian Yelich and second baseman Mike Moustakas. Yelich is hitting .328/.421/.681 with 41 home runs, 89 RBIs, 91 runs and 24 steals, while Moustakas is batting .265 with 31 homers, 76 RBIs and 71 runs scored.
In the other dugout, Arizona’s pitching staff allowed 4.7 runs per game and its starters own a 4.44 ERA, 1.31 WHIP and 8.62 K/9. The bullpen has logged an ERA of 4.44, along with a K-per-9 of 8.73.
The Diamondbacks offense has slashed .256/.328/.446 on its way to 5.1 runs scored per game this season, including 4.3 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 3.2 per game over the team’s last five contests (2-3 SU).
Arizona’s offensive production has been sparked by Ketel Marte and Eduardo Escobar. Marte is hitting .318/.381/.572 with 27 home runs, 76 RBIs and 85 runs scored, while Escobar (.267/.321/.520) is up to 28 homers, 100 RBIs and 78 runs scored.
The Diamondbacks have lost 6.5 units and are 50-41 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this season. The over has cashed in 38 of those games, as opposed to 47 that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Brewers have lost 4.5 units and are 16-24 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in 13 of those games, compared to 25 which went under the total.
Diamondbacks vs. Brewers Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Brewers, ATS Winner – Brewers, O/U – OVER
Betting Trends
- The over has hit in three of Arizona’s last seven games.
- The Diamondbacks have hit 17 home runs in their last 10 games. The Brewers have hit 19 over their last 10.
- The Diamondbacks have a total OPS of .774 this season and an OPS of .736 when facing right-handed pitchers. The Brewers’ OPS sits at .778 overall and .787 versus righties.
- Milwaukee has posted 26.6 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 19.4 over its last five.
