New York Yankees vs. Los Angeles Dodgers Free Pick

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The New York Yankees are ready to take on the Los Angeles Dodgers in a Sunday showdown. This interleague matchup will be televised nationally on ESPN and the first pitch is scheduled for 7:08 p.m. ET.

New York Yankees at Los Angeles Dodgers Odds

New York (receiving +165) is the underdog to Los Angeles (-175) and Vegas has the Over/Under for this one at 9 runs. Odds for betting on the game’s total now stand at -120 for the over and +100 for the under. Bettors can also wager on the game’s runline with the current odds sitting at -135 for the Yankees +1.5 runs and +115 for the Dodgers -1.5.

The Yankees have gone 84-47 SU this year and are 75-55 against the spread (ATS). They’ve accumulated 18.2 units for moneyline gamblers and 21.8 units ATS. The Dodgers, on the other hand, are 86-45 SU and 63-67 ATS. They’ve gained 17.1 units for moneyline bettors while gaining 5.0 units ATS.

Dodgers games have had an over/under record of 60-63-7 in 2019. New York has been a great over bet with a total record of 74-52-4.

Domingo German will get the nod for the visiting Yankees. The right-handed German is 16-3 with a 4.15 ERA and 131 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Dodgers this year and did not record a start against them in 2018, either.

The Dodgers are handing the ball to lefty Clayton Kershaw (13-2, 2.71 ERA), who has 147 strikeouts and 31 walks, along with a 1.02 WHIP. Kershaw did not register a start against the Yankees in 2018.

Los Angeles’ pitching staff has allowed 3.8 runs per game overall this season as a unit. Its starters have a 3.00 ERA, 1.05 WHIP and 9.3 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 4.09 ERA, 1.20 WHIP and 9.2 K/9.

Los Angeles’ hitters have put up 5.5 runs per outing, including 5.5 per game over its last 10 games and 5.0 per game over their last five. The team has a slash-line of .233/.333/.465 over its last five contests and is 4-1 SU during that stretch.

The Dodgers’ hitters have been led by first baseman Cody Bellinger and third baseman Justin Turner. Bellinger is hitting .314/.410/.658 with 42 home runs, 100 RBIs, 101 runs and 11 stolen bases, and Turner’s line is .291/.374/.505 with 23 homers, 59 RBIs and 74 runs scored.

In the other dugout, New York’s pitchers have allowed 4.7 runs per game and its starters own a 4.85 ERA, 1.32 WHIP and 8.88 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 4.05, along with a K/9 of 9.82.

The Yankees offense has slashed .272/.346/.489 on its way to 5.9 runs scored per game this year, including 4.4 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 4.0 per game over the team’s last five contests (1-4 SU).

Second baseman DJ LeMahieu and shortstop Gleyber Torres continue to lead New York’s hitters. LeMahieu is slashing .330/.377/.525 with 21 home runs, 86 RBIs and 88 runs scored, while Torres is slashing .289/.353/.552 with 32 homers, 76 RBIs and 84 runs scored.

The Yankees have gained 5.5 units and are 25-14 ATS when facing a lefty starter this season. The over has cashed in 22 of those games, compared to 15 that’ve gone under against left-handed starting pitchers. On the other hand, the Dodgers have netted 18.2 units and are 47-41 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in 39 of those games, compared to 42 that’ve cashed the under.

Yankees at Dodgers Prediction

Predictions: SU Winner – Dodgers, ATS Winner – Yankees, O/U – OVER

Betting Notes

  • The over has hit in three of Los Angeles’ last seven games.
  • The Yankees have an OPS of .834 this season, including an OPS of .846 when facing left-handed pitchers. The Dodgers’ OPS stands at .819 overall and .768 against southpaws.
  • The Dodgers have won four of their last five games SU.
  • New York has recorded 23.2 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 24.4 over its last five.
  • The Yankees have hit 20 home runs in their last 10 games, including 11 over their last five.