Tommy Pham and the Tampa Bay Rays will be taking on their AL East rival Baltimore Orioles at Camden Yards in a Sunday showdown. The opening pitch is scheduled for 1:05 p.m. ET and Mid-Atlantic Sports Network will televise the matchup.
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore Orioles Odds
The Orioles are 42-88 straight up (SU) and 54-75 against the spread (ATS). The team has lost 18.1 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 25.6 units ATS. Baltimore has covered the spread only twice in its last seven games and the total has gone under in six of those seven. The Rays are 76-55 SU and have gone 66-64 ATS. Overall, the team’s lost 1.9 units for moneyline bettors and 6.7 units ATS. Tampa Bay’s covered the spread only twice over its last seven games and the over has cashed in four of those seven.
Orioles games have a 65-55-9 over/under record in 2019. Tampa Bay has an over/under record of 60-63-7.
Diego Castillo will get the nod for the visiting Rays. The right-handed Castillo is 2-6 with a 3.44 ERA and 58 strikeouts. He’s 0-1 with two strikeouts and a 3.38 ERA against Baltimore this year.
The Orioles will turn to righty Dylan Bundy (5-13, 5.03 ERA), who’s got 129 punchouts and 43 walks as well as a 1.32 WHIP. Bundy is 1-2 with 10 strikeouts and a 6.75 ERA across three starts against Tampa Bay this year.
Tampa Bay’s pitchers have allowed 3.9 runs per game and its starters own a 3.43 ERA, 1.11 WHIP and 10.28 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 3.68, along with a WHIP of 1.11.
Rays hitters have slashed .252/.327/.428 on their way to 4.7 runs scored per game this season, including 4.7 runs per game against divisional foes and 4.8 per game over the team’s last five outings (3-2 SU).
Tommy Pham and Austin Meadows continue to lead Tampa Bay’s offense. Pham is slashing .269/.372/.454 with 19 home runs, 54 RBIs, 60 runs and 16 stolen bases, while Meadows (.278/.347/.531) has produced 23 homers, 67 RBIs and 56 runs scored.
For the home team, Baltimore’s pitchers have given up 6.3 runs per game overall in 2019. Its starters have an ERA of 5.73, a WHIP of 1.42 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 7.2. The bullpen has a 6.23 ERA, 1.56 WHIP and 8.6 K/9. In 63 games against divisional foes, Orioles starters have an ERA of 5.65 and the bullpen’s ERA is 6.94.
The Baltimore hitters have put up 4.3 runs per contest, including 4.0 per game against divisional foes and 4.4 per game over their last five. The team’s hit .231/.322/.442 over its last five contests and is 3-2 SU during that span.
The Orioles’ batters have been led by second baseman Jonathan Villar and right fielder Trey Mancini. Villar is slashing .278/.349/.462 with 19 home runs, 59 RBIs, 86 runs and 28 steals, while Mancini’s line is .270/.341/.520 with 29 homers, 74 RBIs and 83 runs.
The Rays have lost 3.3 units and are 38-43 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this year. The over has cashed in 38 of those games, as opposed to 38 that’ve hit the under in such games. On the other hand, the Orioles have lost 14.3 units and are 34-48 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over has cashed in 41 of those games, compared to 36 that went under the total.
Rays at Orioles Free MLB Tip
Predictions: SU Winner – Orioles, ATS Winner – Rays, O/U – OVER
Betting Trends
- The over has hit in four of Tampa Bay’s last seven contests.
- Tampa Bay has recorded 17.9 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 22.4 over its last five.
- The Rays have hit 10 home runs in their last 10 games, including six over their last five.
- The Rays have an OPS of .755 this season and an OPS of .761 against right-handed pitchers. The Orioles’ OPS sits at .719 overall and .709 versus righties.
