The Tampa Bay Rays will take on their division rival Baltimore Orioles in a Saturday night game. The matchup will begin at 7:05 p.m. ET and fans can tune in to Mid-Atlantic Sports Network to catch the game.
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore Orioles Odds
The Rays are 76-54 SU and are 65-64 against the spread (ATS). The team hasn’t moved the needle a whole lot this year, losing 3.0 units for moneyline bettors and 7.7 units ATS. Tampa Bay has covered the spread just once over its last seven games and the total has gone over in four of those seven. The Orioles, on the other hand, are 41-88 SU and 54-74 ATS. They’ve lost 17.1 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 24.6 units ATS. Baltimore has covered the spread only twice over its last seven games and the total has gone under in six of those seven.
Baltimore games have an over/under record of 65-54-9 in 2019. Tampa Bay has an over/under record of 60-62-7.
The southpaw Jose Alvarado is projected to start for the visiting Rays. Alvarado (1-5, 4.55 ERA) has racked up 39 punchouts in 29.2 innings so far. He’s 0-1 with six strikeouts and a 9.64 ERA against Baltimore this year.
The Orioles are countering with John Means (8-9, 3.75 ERA). Means has 88 strikeouts and 32 walks, along with a WHIP of 1.21. Means is 1-1 with 13 strikeouts and a 4.80 ERA across two starts against Tampa Bay this year.
As a unit, Baltimore’s pitchers have allowed 6.3 runs per game overall this season. The team’s starters have an ERA of 5.78, a WHIP of 1.43 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 7.2. The bullpen has a 6.26 ERA, 1.56 WHIP and 8.6 K/9. In 62 divisional games, Orioles starters have an ERA of 5.75 and the bullpen’s ERA is 7.00.
Baltimore’s offense has produced 4.3 runs per outing, including 4.0 per game against divisional foes and 3.8 per game over its last five. The team has a slash-line of .229/.328/.433 over its last five contests and is 2-3 SU during that stretch.
The Orioles’ hitters have been led by second baseman Jonathan Villar and right fielder Trey Mancini. Villar is hitting .276/.348/.456 with 18 home runs, 58 RBIs, 85 runs and 28 stolen bases, while Mancini’s line sits at .270/.341/.520 with 29 homers, 74 RBIs and 83 runs.
In the other dugout, Tampa Bay’s pitching staff allowed 3.9 runs per game and its starters own a 3.41 ERA, 1.11 WHIP and 10.29 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 3.63, along with a WHIP of 1.11.
The Rays offense has slashed .253/.328/.429 on its way to 4.7 runs scored per game in 2019, including 4.8 runs per game against divisional foes and 5.2 per game over the team’s last five outings (3-2 SU).
Tampa Bay’s offensive production has been powered by Tommy Pham and Austin Meadows. Pham is hitting .267/.371/.451 with 19 home runs, 54 RBIs, 60 runs and 16 stolen bases. Meadows (.278/.348/.532) is up to 23 homers, 67 RBIs and 56 runs scored.
The Rays have gained 0.3 units and are 27-21 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher this year. The over’s hit in 22 of those games, compared to 24 that’ve gone under against lefties.
Rays at Orioles MLB Prediction
Predictions: SU Winner – Orioles, ATS Winner – Rays, O/U – OVER
Betting Notes
- Tampa Bay has logged 19 extra-base hits over its last five contests. Baltimore has 16 XBH over its last five.
- The Rays have a team OPS of .756 this season, including an OPS of .751 against left-handed pitchers. The Orioles’ OPS sits at .718 overall and .728 against lefties.
- Tampa Bay has posted 19.5 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 22.8 over its last five.
- The Rays have hit 11 home runs in their last 10 games, including seven over their last five.
