The Cleveland Indians will do battle against the New York Mets in a Thursday showdown. This interleague showdown will get going at 7:10 p.m. ET and fans can tune in to SportsNet New York to catch the game.
Cleveland Indians vs. New York Mets Odds
Cleveland (+140) is entering this one as the underdog to New York (-150) and oddsmakers have set the Over/Under for this one at 8.5 runs (-120 for the under and +100 for the over). Bettors can also wager on the game’s runline with the most recent odds sitting at -155 for the Indians +1.5 runs and +135 for the Mets -1.5.
The Mets are 66-60 straight up (SU) and 65-60 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 3.8 units for moneyline bettors and 3.3 units ATS. New York has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the total has gone under in three of those seven. The Indians, on the other hand, have gone 74-53 SU this year and are 68-58 against the spread. Overall, the club has gained 4.6 units for moneyline gamblers and 9.7 units ATS. Cleveland has covered the spread five times in its last seven games and the over has cashed in five of those seven.
Mets games have had an over/under record of 65-48-12 in 2019. Cleveland has been a decent under bet with a total record of 56-66-4.
Aaron Civale will get the start for the visiting Indians. The right-handed Civale is 1-2 with a 1.50 ERA and 22 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Mets this year and did not record a start against them in 2018, either.
The Mets are planning to start righty Noah Syndergaard (8-6, 3.86 ERA), who’s got 151 punchouts and 42 walks to his credit, along with a WHIP of 1.21. Syndergaard did not record a start against the Indians in 2018.
New York’s pitching staff has allowed 4.7 runs per game overall this season as a unit. Its starting pitching staff has a 3.95 ERA, 1.25 WHIP and 9.1 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 5.14 ERA, 1.47 WHIP and 9.4 K/9.
New York’s hitters are putting up 4.9 runs per contest, including 5.4 per game over its last 10 games and 5.8 per game over their last five. The team has slashed .296/.360/.447 over its last five games and is 4-1 SU during that stretch.
Shortstop Amed Rosario and left fielder Jeff McNeil have paced the Mets’ hitters this year. Rosario is slashing .292/.331/.452 with 12 home runs, 54 RBIs, 62 runs and 15 steals, and McNeil’s line is .332/.400/.529 with 15 homers, 55 RBIs and 67 runs scored.
In the visiting dugout, Cleveland’s pitching staff allowed 4.0 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 3.88 ERA, 1.19 WHIP and 9.65 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 3.48, along with a K-per-9 of 9.07.
Indians hitters have slashed .252/.326/.436 on their way to 4.7 runs scored per game in 2019, including 5.9 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 4.0 per game over the team’s last five outings (1-4 SU).
Shortstop Francisco Lindor and first baseman Carlos Santana have led Cleveland’s offense. Lindor is hitting .297/.352/.514 with 21 home runs, 53 RBIs, 74 runs and 18 stolen bases, while Santana is slashing .291/.413/.552 with 30 homers, 79 RBIs and 91 runs scored.
The Indians have gained 0.1 units and are 43-41 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has hit in 31 of those games, compared to 49 that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Mets have lost 0.2 units and are 49-46 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over’s hit in 52 of those games, as opposed to 34 which went under the total.
Indians at Mets MLB Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Mets, ATS Winner – Indians, O/U – OVER
Betting Notes
- The under has hit in only two of Cleveland’s last seven games.
- The Indians have an OPS of .762 this season and an OPS of .769 against right-handed pitchers. The Mets’ OPS stands at .769 overall and .760 against righties.
- The Indians have lost four of their last five games SU.
- Cleveland has posted 25.5 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 19.6 over its last five.
- The Indians have hit 21 home runs in their last 10 games. The Mets have hit nine over their last 10.
