San Francisco Giants vs. Chicago Cubs Betting Preview

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Kevin Pillar and the San Francisco Giants will take on the Chicago Cubs at Wrigley Field in a Thursday day game. WGN will broadcast this NL matchup and the game gets going at 2:20 p.m. ET.

San Francisco Giants vs. Chicago Cubs Odds

The Cubs are 68-58 straight up (SU) and 60-65 against the spread (ATS). The team hasn’t moved the needle a whole lot for gamblers, losing 3.9 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 4.7 units ATS. The Giants are 63-64 SU and have gone 65-61 against the spread. In total, the team’s gained 13.2 units for gamblers taking the moneyline, but have lost 12.1 units ATS.

Chicago games have an over/under record of 57-59-9 in 2019. Giants games have gone over 61 times, gone under 58 times and pushed on seven occasions.

Right-hander Jeff Samardzija is projected to start for the visiting Giants. Samardzija is 9-9 with a 3.54 ERA and 119 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Cubs this year and did not record a start against them in 2018, either.

The Cubs are putting the ball in the right hand of Kyle Hendricks (8-9, 3.37 ERA, 1.13 WHIP), who’s got 115 punchouts and 28 walks. Hendricks made two starts against the team in 2018, putting together a 1-0 record in 2018, compiling a 1-0 record with a 0.59 ERA and 15 strikeouts.

San Francisco’s pitchers have allowed 4.9 runs per game and its starters own a 4.85 ERA, 1.36 WHIP and 8.24 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 3.98, along with a K/9 of 8.85.

The Giants offense has slashed .242/.309/.407 on its way to 4.4 runs scored per game this season, including 6.3 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 7.2 per game over the team’s last five contests (2-3 SU).

Kevin Pillar and Brandon Belt continue to lead San Francisco’s hitters. Pillar is slashing .267/.297/.467 with 19 home runs, 69 RBIs and 67 runs scored. Belt (.226/.340/.385) has produced 14 homers, 49 RBIs and 63 runs scored.

For the home team, Chicago’s pitchers have allowed 4.4 runs per game overall this season. Its starting pitching staff has an ERA of 4.04, a WHIP of 1.26 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 8.8. The bullpen has a 4.18 ERA, 1.36 WHIP and 8.8 K/9.

Chicago’s offense has put up 5.0 runs per contest, including 4.3 per game over its last 10 games and 5.6 per game over its last five. The team’s hit .252/.354/.485 over its last five games and is 4-1 SU during that span.

The Cubs’ batters have been led by shortstop Javier Baez and third baseman Kris Bryant. Baez is hitting .284/.316/.538 with 28 home runs, 82 RBIs, 84 runs and 10 stolen bases, and Bryant’s line is .287/.385/.534 with 26 homers, 63 RBIs and 91 runs.

The Giants have gained 13.3 units and are 49-40 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this year. The over has hit in 44 of those games, as opposed to 39 that’ve hit the under in such games. On the other hand, the Cubs have netted 3.1 units and are 49-48 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over’s hit in 45 of those games, compared to 45 that went under the total.

Giants at Cubs MLB Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – Cubs, ATS Winner – Giants, O/U – OVER

Betting Notes

  • The under has cashed in four of San Francisco’s last seven games.
  • The San Francisco defense has coughed up two errors over the last 10 games, compared to nine errors for Chicago over its last 10.
  • The Giants have hit 19 home runs in their last 10 games, including 13 over their last five.
  • The Giants have a total OPS of .717 this season and an OPS of .718 when facing right-handed pitchers. The Cubs’ OPS stands at .788 overall and .805 versus righties.