Tommy Pham and the Tampa Bay Rays will head north to Camden Yards to play their divisional foe Baltimore Orioles. Mid-Atlantic Sports Network will broadcast the matchup and the game will get going at 7:05 p.m. ET.
Tampa Bay Rays at Baltimore Orioles Odds
Las Vegas has Tampa Bay (-225) as the favorite over Baltimore (+205). If you’re thinking the game’s total is going to go below 10 runs, then Vegas is offering -120 odds for the under. Playing the over will give you even money (+100). This game currently has a runline of Rays -1.5 (-150) and Orioles +1.5 (+130).
The Orioles are 41-86 straight up (SU) and 53-73 against the spread (ATS). The team has lost 17.1 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 24.6 units ATS. Baltimore has covered the spread only twice in its last seven games and the under has hit in four of those seven. The Rays have gone 74-54 SU this year and are 64-63 against the spread. In total, the club has lost 5.0 units for gamblers taking the moneyline and 7.3 units ATS. Tampa Bay has covered the spread just once in its last seven games and the total has gone over in five of those seven.
Orioles games have a 65-52-9 over/under record in 2019. The Rays have an over/under record of 59-61-7.
The southpaw Ryan Yarbrough will get the nod for Tampa Bay. Yarbrough is 11-3 with a 3.34 ERA and 88 strikeouts. He’s 1-0 with nine strikeouts and a 1.93 ERA against Baltimore this year.
The Orioles will turn to righty Asher Wojciechowski (2-6, 4.78 ERA), who has 56 strikeouts and 20 walks as well as a 1.24 WHIP. Wojciechowski is 0-1 with eight strikeouts and a 6.00 ERA in one start against Tampa Bay this year.
Tampa Bay’s pitchers have allowed 3.9 runs per game and its starters own a 3.46 ERA, 1.12 WHIP and 10.32 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 3.67, along with a K/9 of 9.50.
The Rays offense has slashed .252/.327/.428 on its way to 4.7 runs scored per game this season, including 4.8 runs per game against divisional foes and 4.0 per game over the team’s last five contests (3-2 SU).
Tampa Bay’s hitters have been led by Tommy Pham and Austin Meadows. Pham is hitting .265/.369/.452 with 19 home runs, 54 RBIs, 59 runs and 16 stolen bases, while Meadows (.276/.346/.517) has produced 21 homers, 62 RBIs and 53 runs scored.
For the home team, Baltimore’s pitchers have given up 6.4 runs per game overall in 2019. The team’s starting pitching staff has a 5.74 ERA, 1.42 WHIP and 7.2 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 6.31 ERA, 1.57 WHIP and 8.6 K/9. In 60 games against AL East foes, Orioles starters have an ERA of 5.65 and the bullpen’s ERA is 7.15.
The Baltimore offense has put up 4.4 runs per contest, including 4.1 per game against divisional foes and 4.6 per game over its last five. The team has hit .253/.359/.449 over its last five contests and is 2-3 SU during that stretch.
The Orioles’ batters have been led by second baseman Jonathan Villar and right fielder Trey Mancini. Villar is hitting .278/.349/.454 with 17 home runs, 57 RBIs, 84 runs and 28 stolen bases, and Mancini’s line is .273/.344/.524 with 29 homers, 73 RBIs and 82 runs.
The Rays have lost 5.3 units and are 37-42 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this year. The over has hit in 37 of those games, as opposed to 37 that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Orioles have lost 3.8 units and are 19-26 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in 24 of those games, as opposed to 17 that’ve gone under.
Rays vs. Orioles Free MLB Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Rays, ATS Winner – Rays, O/U – OVER
Betting Notes
- Tampa Bay has tallied 14 extra-base hits over its last five games. Baltimore has 15 XBH over its last five.
- Tampa Bay fielders have 11 errors over the last 10 games, compared to only four errors for Baltimore over its last 10.
- The Rays have hit 10 home runs in their last 10 games. The Orioles have hit 15 over their last 10.
- The Rays have an OPS of .755 this season and an OPS of .762 against right-handed pitchers. The Orioles’ OPS stands at .721 overall and .712 versus righties.
