Starlin Castro and the slumping Miami Marlins will do battle against their divisional rival Atlanta Braves at SunTrust Park in a Thursday showdown. The game gets underway 7:20 p.m. ET and Fox SportsNet Florida will be showing the action.
Miami Marlins at Atlanta Braves Odds
Las Vegas has Atlanta (-265) as the favorite over Miami (+235). The total currently stands at 9 runs and bettors can play the over for -105 and the under for -115. This game currently has a runline of Marlins +1.5 (+105) and Braves -1.5 (-125).
The Marlins have gone 45-80 SU this year and are 62-62 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 9.2 units for moneyline bettors and 9.3 units ATS. The Braves, on the other hand, are 76-52 SU and 61-66 ATS. They’ve gained 12.3 units for moneyline bettors while earning 3.9 units ATS.
Atlanta games have an over/under record of 64-55-8 in 2019. Marlins games have gone over 57 times, gone under 57 times and pushed on 10 instances.
Sandy Alcantara will get the start for the visiting Marlins. The right-handed Alcantara is 4-11 with a 4.35 ERA and 101 strikeouts. He’s 0-0 with six strikeouts and a 3.86 ERA against Atlanta this year (two starts).
The Braves are sending righty Mike Soroka (10-2, 2.41 ERA) to the mound. Soroka has 107 strikeouts and 33 walks to his name as well as a WHIP of 1.10. Soroka is 2-0 with 18 strikeouts and a 0.41 ERA over three starts against Miami this year.
Miami’s pitchers have allowed 4.9 runs per game and its starters own a 4.41 ERA, 1.27 WHIP and 8.34 K/9. The bullpen has logged an ERA of 5.10, along with a WHIP of 1.27.
The Marlins offense has slashed .240/.299/.366 on its way to 3.6 runs scored per game this season, including 3.5 runs per game against divisional foes and 2.2 per game over the team’s last five outings (0-5 SU).
Second baseman Starlin Castro and third baseman Brian Anderson continue to lead Miami’s hitters. Castro is hitting .260/.284/.377 with 11 home runs, 58 RBIs and 41 runs scored, while Anderson has a .262 average with 20 homers, 65 RBIs and 55 runs scored.
In the other dugout, Atlanta’s pitchers have allowed 4.8 runs per game overall this season. Its starters have a 4.36 ERA, 1.39 WHIP and 8.3 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 4.42 ERA, 1.46 WHIP and 9.2 K/9. In 55 divisional games, Braves starters have an ERA of 4.63 and the bullpen’s ERA is 4.34.
Atlanta’s hitters are putting up 5.4 runs per outing, including 5.8 per game against divisional foes and 4.4 per game over their last five. The team’s hit .213/.298/.440 over its last five games and is 4-1 SU during that stretch.
Left fielder Ronald Acuna Jr. and first baseman Freddie Freeman have led the Braves’ batters this year. Acuna Jr. is hitting .296/.377/.542 with 36 home runs, 87 RBIs, 106 runs and 29 stolen bases, while Freeman’s line is .304/.396/.571 with 33 homers, 102 RBIs and 99 runs scored.
The Marlins have lost 7.2 units and are 43-48 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has cashed in 39 of those games, compared to 45 that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Braves have netted 6.8 units and are 46-52 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in 49 of those games, as opposed to 44 that’ve cashed the under.
Marlins vs. Braves Prediction
Predictions: SU Winner – Braves, ATS Winner – Marlins, O/U – OVER
Betting Trends
- The over has cashed in four of Miami’s last seven outings.
- The Marlins have dropped eight of their last nine games SU.
- Miami fielders have six errors over the last five games, compared to only two errors for Atlanta over its last five.
- The Marlins have hit five home runs in their last 10 games, including three over their last five.
- The Marlins have a total OPS of .665 this season and an OPS of .653 when facing right-handed pitchers. The Braves’ OPS sits at .801 overall and .802 against righties.
