Cesar Hernandez and the Philadelphia Phillies are paying a visit to Fenway Park to face the Boston Red Sox. This interleague matchup will begin at 7:10 p.m. ET and fans can tune in to NBC Sports Philadelphia to catch the action.
Philadelphia Phillies at Boston Red Sox Odds
Sportsbooks have Boston (+105) as the underdog to Philadelphia (-115). If you’re thinking the game’s total is going to finish under 11 runs, then bookmakers are currently offering -105 odds. Picking the over will return -115 odds. There’s a runline of Phillies -1.5 (+130) and Red Sox +1.5 (-150) for this matchup.
The Red Sox are 67-59 straight up (SU) and 54-72 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 21.5 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 24.6 units ATS. The Phillies are 64-60 SU and have gone 57-67 ATS. In total, the club has lost 5.0 units for moneyline gamblers and 10.3 units ATS.
Red Sox games have an over/under record of 74-49-3 in 2019. Philadelphia has an over/under record of 59-61-4.
Aaron Nola is getting the nod for Philadelphia. The right-handed Nola is 11-3 with a 3.56 ERA and 173 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Red Sox this year and only made one start against them in 2018 (0-0, 1.13 ERA and six strikeouts over eight innings).
The Red Sox are sending lefty Brian Johnson (1-1, 6.45 ERA) to the mound. Johnson has 17 strikeouts and 10 walks as well as a 2.01 WHIP. Johnson did not record a start against the Phillies in 2018.
Philadelphia’s pitchers have allowed 4.9 runs per game and its starters own a 4.56 ERA, 1.35 WHIP and 8.12 K/9. The bullpen has logged an ERA of 4.63, along with a K/9 of 9.06.
Phillies hitters have slashed .246/.324/.420 on their way to 4.8 runs scored per game in 2019, including 5.1 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 6.2 per game over the team’s last five outings (3-2 SU).
Philadelphia’s offensive production has been led by second baseman Cesar Hernandez and shortstop Jean Segura. Hernandez is slashing .281/.329/.396 with eight home runs, 53 RBIs and 54 runs scored, while Segura is hitting .284 with 11 homers, 50 RBIs and 65 runs scored.
In the home-team dugout, Boston’s pitching staff has given up 5.2 runs per game overall in 2019. The team’s starters have an ERA of 5.06, a WHIP of 1.36 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 9.4. The bullpen has a 4.28 ERA, 1.36 WHIP and 10.5 K/9.
The Boston hitters have produced 5.8 runs per contest, including 7.0 per game over its last 10 games and 7.6 per game over their last five. The team’s hit .354/.418/.657 over its last five games and is 5-0 SU during that stretch.
The Red Sox hitters have been led by third baseman Rafael Devers and shortstop Xander Bogaerts. Devers is slashing .332/.380/.596 with 27 home runs, 101 RBIs and 103 runs scored, and Bogaerts has put up a line of .309/.384/.562 with 27 homers, 94 RBIs and 95 runs.
The Phillies have lost 7.8 units and are 13-20 ATS when facing a lefty starter this season. The over has cashed in 16 of those games, compared to 17 that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Red Sox have lost 9.5 units and are 38-49 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over has cashed in 50 of those games, compared to 35 that went under the total.
Phillies at Red Sox Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Red Sox, ATS Winner – Red Sox, O/U – OVER
Betting Notes
- The over has cashed in four of Philadelphia’s last seven outings.
- Boston has recorded 29.4 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 33.2 over its last five.
- The Phillies have hit 12 home runs in their last 10 games, including eight over their last five.
- The Phillies have a team OPS of .744 this season and an OPS of .770 against left-handed pitchers. The Red Sox’ OPS stands at .832 overall and .803 against southpaws.
