Domingo Santana and the Seattle Mariners will make a road trip to St. Petersburg to take on the Rays at Tropicana Field. This AL matchup gets underway at 7:10 p.m. ET and fans can catch it on both RTNW and SUN.
Seattle Mariners vs. Tampa Bay Rays Odds
Tampa Bay (-175) is favored over Seattle (+165) and oddsmakers have put the Over/Under for this night game at 8.5 runs. The odds for betting on the game’s total stand at -115 for the over and -105 for the under. This game currently has a runline of Mariners +1.5 (-135) and Rays -1.5 (+115).
The Rays are 73-52 straight up (SU) and 64-60 against the spread (ATS). The team hasn’t moved the needle a lot for gamblers, losing 2.3 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 4.3 units ATS. The Mariners are 52-73 SU and have gone 60-64 against the spread. Overall, the team’s lost 15.2 units for gamblers taking the moneyline and 14.9 units ATS.
Rays games have a 56-61-7 over/under record in 2019. The Mariners have been a solid over bet with a total record of 70-44-10.
Left-hander Marco Gonzales is the projected starter for Seattle. Gonzales is 12-10 with a 4.26 ERA and 116 strikeouts. He’s 0-0 with nine strikeouts and a 2.84 ERA against Tampa Bay this year.
The Rays will turn to lefty Brendan McKay (2-2, 5.08 ERA), who’s got 40 punchouts and nine walks as well as a 1.40 WHIP. McKay hasn’t faced the Mariners yet this year and did not accrue any MLB pitching stats in 2018.
Seattle’s pitchers have allowed 5.7 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 5.27 ERA, 1.41 WHIP and 7.05 K/9. The bullpen has logged an ERA of 4.97, along with a WHIP of 1.41 and a K/9 of 8.61.
Mariners hitters have slashed .243/.321/.441 on their way to 4.9 runs scored per game this year, including 4.4 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 4.6 per game over the team’s last five outings (3-2 SU).
Left fielder Domingo Santana and catcher Omar Narvaez have led Seattle’s offense. Santana is slashing .256/.332/.449 with 21 home runs, 69 RBIs and 63 runs scored, while Narvaez (.287/.361/.464) is up to 17 homers, 43 RBIs and 53 runs scored.
For the home team, Tampa Bay’s pitchers have given up 3.8 runs per game overall in 2019. Its starters have a 3.38 ERA, 1.11 WHIP and 10.4 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 3.66 ERA, 1.21 WHIP and 9.5 K/9.
The Tampa Bay hitters have put up 4.7 runs per contest, including 3.9 per game over its last 10 games and 3.0 per game over their last five. The team has hit .192/.276/.314 over its last five matchups and is 3-2 SU during that stretch.
The Rays’ hitters have been led by outfielders Tommy Pham and Avisail Garcia. Pham is slashing .269/.370/.454 with 18 home runs, 53 RBIs, 56 runs and 13 stolen bases, and Garcia’s line is .278/.335/.459 with 17 homers, 57 RBIs and 49 runs scored.
The Mariners have lost 7.9 units and are 16-23 ATS when facing a lefty starter this season. The over has cashed in 21 of those games, compared to 16 that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Rays have netted 1.2 units and are 27-19 ATS when facing a lefty starter. The over’s cashed in 20 of those games, compared to 24 that went under the total.
Mariners at Rays MLB Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Rays, ATS Winner – Mariners, O/U – OVER
Betting Trends
- The over has hit in four of Tampa Bay’s last seven games.
- The Seattle defense has coughed up four errors over the last 10 games, compared to nine errors for Tampa Bay over its last 10.
- The Mariners have hit 17 home runs in their last 10 games, including nine over their last five.
- The Mariners have a team OPS of .762 this season and an OPS of .764 against left-handed pitchers. The Rays’ OPS sits at .755 overall and .741 against southpaws.
