Jonathan Villar and the slumping Baltimore Orioles will make a road trip to Fenway Park to face a divisional opponent in the Boston Red Sox. Mid-Atlantic Sports Network will showcase the matchup and the opening pitch is scheduled for 7:10 p.m. ET.
Baltimore Orioles at Boston Red Sox Odds
Baltimore (+225) is coming into this one as the underdog against Boston (-245) and Vegas has set the Over/Under for this game at 12 runs. Odds for wagering on the game’s total sit at -105 for the over and -115 for the under. This game currently has a runline of Orioles +1.5 (+100) and Red Sox -1.5 (-120).
The Orioles are 39-82 SU and have gone 52-69 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 13.8 units for moneyline bettors and 22.3 units ATS. Baltimore is 3-4 ATS over its last seven games and the total has gone over in six of those seven. The Red Sox, on the other hand, are 64-59 SU and 51-72 ATS. The team has lost 24.5 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 27.6 units ATS. Boston has a 3-4 ATS record over its last seven outings and the total has gone over in four of those seven.
Red Sox games have an over/under record of 73-47-3 in 2019. Baltimore has also been a great over bet with a total record of 64-48-9.
Right-hander Aaron Brooks will get the nod for the visiting Orioles. Brooks is 2-6 with a 6.35 ERA and 59 strikeouts. He’s 1-1 with eight strikeouts and a 3.48 ERA against Boston this year (two starts).
The Red Sox will send righty Rick Porcello (10-9, 5.67 ERA) to the mound. Porcello has 107 punchouts and 36 walks to his name as well as a 1.43 WHIP. Porcello is 1-1 with six strikeouts and a 9.00 ERA across two starts against Baltimore this year.
Baltimore’s pitching staff allowed 6.4 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 5.80 ERA, 1.42 WHIP and 7.22 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 6.26, along with a WHIP of 1.42 and a K-per-9 of 8.50.
Orioles hitters have slashed .245/.308/.412 on their way to 4.4 runs scored per game this year, including 4.2 runs per game against divisional foes and 5.8 per game over the team’s last five contests (1-4 SU).
Second baseman Jonathan Villar and right fielder Trey Mancini have paced Baltimore’s hitters. Villar is hitting .269/.338/.439 with 15 home runs, 54 RBIs, 79 runs and 26 stolen bases, while Mancini has a .274 average with 29 homers, 70 RBIs and 80 runs scored.
For the home team, Boston’s pitchers have yielded 5.2 runs per game overall this season. Its starters have an ERA of 5.10, a WHIP of 1.37 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 9.6. The bullpen has a 4.37 ERA, 1.37 WHIP and 10.5 K/9. In 59 divisional games, Red Sox starters have an ERA of 5.42 and the bullpen’s ERA is 5.22.
The Boston hitters are putting up 5.7 runs per contest, including 5.5 per game against divisional foes and 5.0 per game over their last five. The team has slashed .305/.380/.526 over its last five matchups and is 2-3 SU during that stretch.
The Red Sox hitters have been led by third baseman Rafael Devers and shortstop Xander Bogaerts. Devers is slashing .327/.375/.580 with 25 home runs, 94 RBIs and 99 runs scored, and Bogaerts has put up a line of .308/.384/.563 with 27 homers, 92 RBIs and 93 runs scored.
The Orioles have lost 11.1 units and are 33-44 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has hit in 40 of those games, compared to 32 that’ve gone under against right-handed starting pitchers. On the other hand, the Red Sox have lost 11.5 units and are 36-49 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over’s hit in 50 of those games, compared to 33 that’ve gone under.
Orioles at Red Sox MLB Prediction
Predictions: SU Winner – Red Sox, ATS Winner – Orioles, O/U – OVER
Betting Notes
- Baltimore has logged 21 extra-base hits over its last five games. Boston has 24 XBH over its last five.
- The Orioles have dropped nine of their last 10 games SU.
- Baltimore has recorded 22.7 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 25.0 over its last five.
- The Orioles have hit 15 home runs in their last 10 games, including eight over their last five.
- The Orioles have a total OPS of .720 this season and an OPS of .715 against right-handed pitchers. The Red Sox’ OPS sits at .825 overall and .828 against righties.
