The struggling Cincinnati Reds are trying to stave off their fifth straight loss as they play host to the St. Louis Cardinals at Great American Ball Park. Fox Sports Ohio will be televising the matchup. The first pitch is scheduled for 7:10 p.m. ET.
St. Louis Cardinals at Cincinnati Reds Odds
St. Louis (+140) is entering this game as the underdog to Cincinnati (-150) and oddsmakers have set the Over/Under for this game at 9.5 runs. Odds for wagering on the game’s total currently stand at -110 for both the over and the under. Bettors can also wager on the game’s runline with the odds standing at -155 for the Cardinals +1.5 runs and +135 for the Reds -1.5 runs.
The Cardinals are 63-55 SU and have gone 60-57 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 4.2 units for moneyline gamblers, despite having gained 0.5 units ATS. St. Louis has covered the spread five times in its last seven games and the total has gone under in six of those seven. The Reds, on the other hand, are 56-63 SU and 67-51 ATS. They’ve lost 3.0 units for bettors taking the moneyline while gaining 7.7 units ATS. Cincinnati has a 3-4 ATS record over its last seven outings and the total has gone over in four of those seven.
Cincinnati games have an over/under record of 46-67-5 in 2019. The Cardinals have also been a great under bet with a total record of 46-62-9.
Michael Wacha will get the nod for the Cards. The right-handed Wacha is 6-5 with a 5.54 ERA and 72 strikeouts. He’s 1-0 with four strikeouts and a 0.00 ERA against Cincinnati this year.
The Reds will turn to righty Sonny Gray (7-6, 3.10 ERA), who has 144 strikeouts and 47 walks, in addition to a 1.13 WHIP. Gray is 0-1 with five strikeouts and a 3.60 ERA in one start against St. Louis this year.
Cincinnati’s pitchers have given up 4.4 runs per game overall in 2019 as a unit. The team’s starters have an ERA of 3.99, a WHIP of 1.26 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 9.7. The bullpen has a 4.52 ERA, 1.36 WHIP and 9.7 K/9. In 56 games against divisional opponents, Reds starters have an ERA of 3.87 and the bullpen’s ERA is 5.24.
The Cincinnati hitters are putting up 4.6 runs per contest, including 4.9 per game against divisional foes and 5.4 per game over their last five. The team has hit .310/.368/.603 over its last five contests and is 1-4 SU during that stretch.
Third baseman Eugenio Suarez and first baseman Joey Votto have led the way for the Reds’ hitters this year. Suarez is hitting .258/.341/.532 with 33 home runs, 75 RBIs and 66 runs scored, while Votto is hitting .262 with 12 homers, 39 RBIs and 60 runs.
In the other dugout, St. Louis’ pitchers have allowed 4.3 runs per game and its starters own a 4.17 ERA, 1.36 WHIP and 8.04 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 3.77, along with a WHIP of 1.36.
The Cardinals offense has slashed .243/.317/.405 on its way to 4.5 runs scored per game in 2019, including 5.0 runs per game against divisional foes and 5.6 per game over the team’s last five outings (5-0 SU).
St. Louis’ offense has been powered by first baseman Paul Goldschmidt and shortstop Paul DeJong, who collectively have blasted 46 home runs. Goldschmidt is slashing .258/.335/.464 with 26 home runs, 63 RBIs and 71 runs scored. DeJong (.250/.328/.454) has produced 20 homers, 54 RBIs and 76 runs scored.
The Cardinals have gained 0.3 units and are 50-43 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this season. The over has cashed in 35 of those games, compared to 52 that’ve hit the under in such games. On the other hand, the Reds have lost 0.8 units and are 50-40 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over has hit in 35 of those games, compared to 52 that went under.
Cardinals vs. Reds Free Prediction
Predictions: SU Winner – Reds, ATS Winner – Cardinals, O/U – OVER
Betting Trends
- The over has cashed in four of Cincinnati’s last seven games.
- The Cardinals have hit eight home runs in their last 10 games, including five over their last five.
- The Cardinals have a team OPS of .722 this season and an OPS of .720 against right-handed pitchers. The Reds’ OPS stands at .754 overall and .740 versus righties.
- Cincinnati has posted 26.4 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 28.2 over its last five.
