Francisco Lindor and the Cleveland Indians will take on their AL Central nemesis Minnesota Twins at Target Field in a Sunday showdown. Fox Sports North is in line to broadcast the matchup and the game is scheduled to get underway at 2:10 p.m. ET.
Cleveland Indians vs. Minnesota Twins Odds
Sportsbooks have Cleveland (+135) as the underdog to Minnesota (-145). You can play matchup’s total with current odds listed at even money (+100) for over 10 runs and -120 for under 10. There’s a runline of Indians +1.5 (-160) and Twins -1.5 (+140) for this matchup.
The Twins are 71-46 straight up (SU) and 62-54 against the spread (ATS). The team’s gained 14.1 units for moneyline bettors and 3.2 units ATS. Minnesota has a 3-4 ATS record over its last seven games and the over has hit in four of those seven. The Indians are 70-47 SU and have gone 61-55 against the spread. In total, the team’s gained 7.2 units for moneyline bettors and 6.1 units ATS. Cleveland has covered the spread six times in its last seven games and the total has gone under in six of those seven.
Minnesota games have had an over/under record of 59-52-5 in 2019. The Indians have been a good under bet with a total record of 49-63-4.
The right-handed Aaron Civale is the probable starter for the visiting Indians. Civale is 1-1 with a 0.75 ERA and 13 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Twins this year and did not record a start against them in 2018, either.
The Twins are turning to righty Jose Berrios (10-6, 3.24 ERA), who’s got 140 strikeouts and 34 walks as well as a WHIP of 1.15. Berrios is 2-0 with 22 strikeouts and a 1.93 ERA over three starts against Cleveland this year.
Cleveland’s pitchers have allowed 3.9 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 3.89 ERA, 1.18 WHIP and 9.73 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 3.24, along with a K/9 of 9.14.
The Indians offense has slashed .250/.326/.430 on its way to 4.6 runs scored per game in 2019, including 4.8 runs per game against divisional foes and 4.2 per game over the team’s last five contests (4-1 SU).
Cleveland’s offensive production has been sparked by shortstop Francisco Lindor and first baseman Carlos Santana. Lindor is slashing .300/.353/.521 with 20 home runs, 48 RBIs, 65 runs and 18 stolen bases. Santana (.279/.402/.515) has produced 24 homers, 65 RBIs and 78 runs scored.
For the home team, Minnesota’s pitchers have allowed 4.6 runs per game overall in 2019. The team’s starters have an ERA of 3.96, a WHIP of 1.24 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 8.3. The bullpen has a 4.41 ERA, 1.37 WHIP and 9.4 K/9. In 43 games against AL Central opponents, Twins starters have an ERA of 3.67 and the bullpen’s ERA is 2.56.
Minnesota’s hitters have produced 5.7 runs per outing, including 5.5 per game against divisional foes and 5.0 per game over their last five. The team’s hit .274/.333/.475 over its last five matchups and is 1-4 SU during that stretch.
The Twins’ batters have been led by shortstop Jorge Polanco and right fielder Max Kepler. Polanco is slashing .298/.359/.497 with 17 home runs, 56 RBIs and 72 runs scored, while Kepler’s line sits at .264/.339/.549 with 32 homers, 78 RBIs and 79 runs scored.
The Indians have lost 0.6 units and are 40-40 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this season. The over has hit in 29 of those games, compared to 47 that’ve gone under against righty starters. On the other hand, the Twins have netted 16.5 units and are 47-42 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over has cashed in 43 of those games, compared to 43 that went under the total.
Indians at Twins Free MLB Tip
Predictions: SU Winner – Twins, ATS Winner – Indians, O/U – UNDER
Betting Trends
- The over has cashed in four of Minnesota’s last seven games.
- The Cleveland defense has allowed four errors over the last 10 games, compared to nine errors for Minnesota over its last 10.
- The Indians have hit 11 home runs in their last 10 games. The Twins have hit 19 over their last 10.
- The Indians have a total OPS of .755 this season and an OPS of .766 against right-handed pitchers. The Twins’ OPS sits at .837 overall and .827 against righties.
