Adam Eaton and the Washington Nationals will be taking the field against their NL East foe New York Mets at Citi Field in a Saturday showdown. The game gets underway 7:10 p.m. ET and Pix11 will be showing the action.
Washington Nationals at New York Mets Odds
Oddsmakers have placed matching moneyline odds (-105) on each team. The total currently stands at 7.5 runs and gamblers can play the over for -120 or the under for even money (+100). This game currently has a runline of Nationals -1.5 (+140) and Mets +1.5 (-160).
The Nationals have gone 61-54 SU this year and are 62-52 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 8.0 units for moneyline bettors, despite having gained 5.8 units ATS. Washington has covered the spread five times in its last seven games and the under has hit in five of those seven. The Mets, on the other hand, are 60-56 SU and 60-55 ATS. They’ve lost 4.6 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 1.7 units ATS. New York has covered the spread five times in its last seven games and the total has gone over in four of those seven.
New York games have an over/under record of 60-44-11 in 2019. The Nationals have been a decent under bet with a total record of 51-57-6.
The southpaw Patrick Corbin is projected to start for the visiting Nationals. Corbin (9-5, 3.43 ERA) has racked up 164 punchouts in 141.2 innings so far. He’s 1-1 with 31 strikeouts and a 3.60 ERA against New York this year (four starts).
The Mets are sending righty Noah Syndergaard (8-5, 3.96 ERA) to the mound. Syndergaard has 140 punchouts and 38 walks to his name as well as a 1.21 WHIP. Syndergaard is 1-1 with 19 strikeouts and a 3.60 ERA across three starts against Washington this year.
Washington’s pitchers have allowed 4.6 runs per game and its starters own a 3.57 ERA, 1.19 WHIP and 9.72 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 6.08, along with a K/9 of 9.16.
Nationals hitters have slashed .257/.336/.437 on their way to 5.0 runs scored per game this season, including 5.5 runs per game against divisional foes and 4.8 per game over the team’s last five contests (3-2 SU).
Washington’s hitters have been paced by outfielder Adam Eaton and third baseman Anthony Rendon, who’ve collectively belted 32 home runs. Eaton is slashing .284/.364/.401 with seven home runs, 29 RBIs, 71 runs and 11 stolen bases. Rendon (.315/.400/.608) has produced 25 homers, 90 RBIs and 82 runs scored.
In the home-team dugout, New York’s pitching staff has yielded 4.7 runs per game overall this year. The team’s starting pitching staff has an ERA of 4.04, a WHIP of 1.26 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 9.2. The bullpen has a 5.09 ERA, 1.48 WHIP and 9.3 K/9. In 52 games against divisional opponents, Mets starters have an ERA of 4.57 and the bullpen’s ERA is 5.32.
The New York offense has produced 4.8 runs per outing, including 5.0 per game against divisional foes and 6.0 per game over its last five. The team has a slash-line of .265/.343/.568 over its last five games and is 5-0 SU during that stretch.
The Mets’ hitters have been led by left fielder Jeff McNeil and shortstop Amed Rosario. McNeil is hitting .336/.404/.534 with 15 home runs, 52 RBIs and 66 runs scored, while Rosario’s line is .282/.321/.445 with 12 homers, 48 RBIs, 54 runs and 14 stolen bases.
The Nationals have lost 2.5 units and are 48-37 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this year. The over has hit in 38 of those games, compared to 44 that’ve hit the under in such games. On the other hand, the Mets have lost 0.9 units and are 16-10 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in 13 of those games, as opposed to 11 which went under the total.
Nationals vs. Mets MLB Tip
Predictions: SU Winner – Mets, ATS Winner – Mets, O/U – OVER
Betting Trends
- The under has hit in only one of New York’s last seven games.
- The Mets have won 14 of their last 15 games SU.
- Washington has recorded 22.6 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 22.8 over its last five.
- The Nationals have hit 15 home runs in their last 10 games. The Mets have hit 20 over their last 10.
- The Nationals have an OPS of .773 this season and an OPS of .757 against right-handed pitchers. The Mets’ OPS stands at .765 overall and .751 against righties.
