The Cincinnati Reds will play host to their division rival Chicago Cubs at Great American Ball Park. The action will begin at 7:10 p.m. ET and WGN will showcase the game.
Chicago Cubs at Cincinnati Reds Odds
Cincinnati (receiving -110 odds) is hosting this one as the favorite against Chicago and Vegas has put the Over/Under for this one at 9 runs. The odds for betting on the game’s total currently sit at -120 for the under and +100 for the over. Runline odds stand at -210 for picking the Cubs +1.5 runs and +175 for the Reds -1.5.
The Cubs are 63-53 SU and have gone 56-59 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 0.9 units for moneyline gamblers and 0.7 units ATS. Chicago’s covered the spread five times in its last seven games and the total has gone over in four of those seven. The Reds, on the other hand, are 55-59 SU and 65-48 ATS. They’ve lost 1.6 units for bettors taking the moneyline while gaining 8.7 units ATS. Cincinnati has covered the spread five times in its last seven games and the total has gone over in five of those seven.
Cincinnati games have an over/under record of 44-65-4 in 2019. Chicago has an over/under record of 54-53-8.
Kyle Hendricks is getting the nod for the visiting Cubs. The right-handed Hendricks (8-8, 3.06 ERA) has recorded 112 strikeouts in 126.2 innings so far. He’s 1-0 with 21 strikeouts and a 2.70 ERA against Cincinnati this year (three starts).
The Reds are countering with Sonny Gray (6-6, 3.25 ERA). Gray has 137 strikeouts and 43 walks, along with a 1.13 WHIP. Gray is 1-1 with 21 strikeouts and a 3.63 ERA over three starts against Chicago this year.
Cincinnati’s pitching staff has allowed 4.3 runs per game overall this year as a unit. The club’s starting pitching staff has a 3.86 ERA, 1.25 WHIP and 9.8 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 4.41 ERA, 1.34 WHIP and 9.7 K/9. In 54 divisional games, Reds starters have an ERA of 3.94 and the bullpen’s ERA is 5.20.
Cincinnati’s hitters have produced 4.5 runs per outing, including 4.9 per game against divisional foes and 6.2 per game over their last five. The team has hit .275/.353/.503 over its last five games and is 4-1 SU during that span.
Third baseman Eugenio Suarez and first baseman Joey Votto have led the charge for the Reds’ batters this year. Suarez is slashing .257/.339/.528 with 31 home runs, 73 RBIs and 62 runs scored, while Votto is hitting .256 with 12 homers, 37 RBIs and 58 runs.
For the visiting squad, Chicago’s pitching staff allowed 4.3 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 3.98 ERA, 1.26 WHIP and 8.71 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.04, along with a WHIP of 1.26 and a K-per-9 of 8.80.
Cubs hitters have slashed .255/.336/.454 on their way to 5.0 runs scored per game in 2019, including 5.0 runs per game against divisional foes and 6.8 per game over the team’s last five outings (3-2 SU).
Chicago’s offense has been led by shortstop Javier Baez and third baseman Kris Bryant, who’ve collectively belted 50 home runs. Baez is slashing .291/.322/.556 with 28 home runs, 79 RBIs and 82 runs scored, while Bryant is hitting .292/.393/.529 with 22 homers, 55 RBIs and 85 runs scored.
The Cubs have gained 4.5 units and are 46-44 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has cashed in 43 of those games, compared to 41 that’ve gone under against right-handed starting pitchers. On the other hand, the Reds have lost 0.8 units and are 48-38 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over’s hit in 33 of those games, compared to 50 that’ve cashed the under.
Cubs vs. Reds MLB Tip
Predictions: SU Winner – Reds, ATS Winner – Cubs, O/U – OVER
Betting Trends
- Chicago has tallied 23 extra-base hits over its last five contests. Cincinnati has 18 XBH over its last five.
- The Cubs have hit 17 home runs in their last 10 games, including 12 over their last five.
- The Cubs have a team OPS of .790 this season and an OPS of .809 when facing right-handed pitchers. The Reds’ OPS sits at .743 overall and .728 versus righties.
- Chicago has posted 25.7 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 games and 30.0 over its last five.
- The Reds have won four of their last five games SU.
