The Boston Red Sox will play host to the Los Angeles Angels at Fenway Park. The opening pitch is scheduled for 4:05 p.m. ET and New England Sports Network will be airing this AL showdown.
Los Angeles Angels at Boston Red Sox Odds
Boston (receiving -135 odds) is favored against Los Angeles and oddsmakers have set the Over/Under for this day game at 12 runs (-110 for the over and -110 for the under). Bettors can also wager on the game’s runline with the most recent odds sitting at -170 for the Angels +1.5 runs and +150 for the Red Sox -1.5.
The Angels are 56-61 SU and are 60-56 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 9.5 units for bettors taking the moneyline, despite having gained 2.5 units ATS. Los Angeles hasn’t covered the spread in any of its last seven games and the total has gone over in four of those seven. The Red Sox, on the other hand, are 62-56 SU and 49-68 ATS. They’ve lost 24.4 units for moneyline bettors and 25.9 units ATS. Boston has covered the spread only twice over its last seven games and the under has hit in four of those seven.
Red Sox games have a 69-45-3 over/under record in 2019. Angels games have gone under 54 times, gone over 53 times and pushed on nine instances.
Left-hander Andrew Heaney is projected to start for Los Angeles. Heaney (1-3, 5.09 ERA) has racked up 54 strikeouts in 46 innings so far. He has yet to face the Red Sox this year and only made one start against them in 2018 (0-0, 16.20 ERA and four strikeouts over three and one-third innings).
The Red Sox are sending righty Rick Porcello (10-8, 5.54 ERA) to the mound. Porcello has 104 strikeouts and 36 walks to his credit, along with a WHIP of 1.44. Porcello made two starts against the Angels in 2018, posting a 1-0 record with a 3.09 ERA and 11 strikeouts.
Boston’s pitchers have allowed 5.2 runs per game overall in 2019 as a unit. Its starting pitching staff has a 5.05 ERA, 1.35 WHIP and 9.6 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 4.40 ERA, 1.38 WHIP and 10.6 K/9.
The Boston offense is putting up 5.8 runs per contest, including 4.9 per game over its last 10 games and 6.4 per game over its last five. The team’s hit .268/.328/.530 over its last five matchups and is 3-2 SU during that span.
The Red Sox batters have been led by third baseman Rafael Devers and shortstop Xander Bogaerts. Devers is slashing .316/.365/.563 with 24 home runs, 90 RBIs and 95 runs scored, and Bogaerts is hitting .307 with 25 homers, 87 RBIs and 91 runs scored.
For the visiting squad, Los Angeles’ pitchers have allowed 5.2 runs per game and its starters own a 5.48 ERA, 1.37 WHIP and 8.46 K/9. The bullpen has logged an ERA of 4.65, along with a WHIP of 1.37 and a K/9 of 9.28.
Angels hitters have slashed .252/.331/.435 on their way to 4.9 runs scored per game this year, including 2.8 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 2.8 per game over the team’s last five outings (0-5 SU).
Los Angeles’ hitters have been led by Mike Trout and David Fletcher. Trout is hitting .299/.439/.668 with 38 home runs, 89 RBIs and 89 runs scored, while Fletcher is hitting .279/.339/.386 with five homers, 39 RBIs and 58 runs scored.
The Angels have gained 0.8 units and are 43-36 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has cashed in 38 of those games, compared to 34 that’ve gone under against right-handed starting pitchers. On the other hand, the Red Sox have lost 10.3 units and are 15-21 ATS when facing a lefty starter. The over’s hit in 22 of those games, compared to 13 that went under.
Angels vs. Red Sox Free Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Red Sox, ATS Winner – Angels, O/U – OVER
Betting Trends
- Los Angeles has recorded 13 extra-base hits over its last five games. Boston has 22 XBH over its last five.
- The Angels have hit 11 home runs in their last 10 games, including seven over their last five.
- The Angels have an OPS of .766 this season and an OPS of .764 when facing right-handed pitchers. The Red Sox’ OPS stands at .821 overall and .825 against righties.
- Los Angeles has recorded 14.4 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 games and 11.6 over its last five.
- The Angels have dropped nine of their last 10 games SU.
