The Atlanta Braves are ready to do battle against the Minnesota Twins in a Wednesday showdown. This interleague showdown will get going at 1:10 p.m. ET and fans can tune in to Fox Sports North to catch the game.
Atlanta Braves at Minnesota Twins Odds
Atlanta (receiving -115) is coming into this one as the favorite over Minnesota (+105) and Vegas has the Over/Under for this afternoon’s game at 10.5 runs. Odds for wagering on the game’s total currently stand at -110 for both the over and the under. Bettors can also wager on the game’s runline with the most recent odds sitting at +130 for the Braves -1.5 runs and -150 for the Twins +1.5.
The Twins are 70-43 straight up (SU) and 62-51 against the spread (ATS). They’ve gained 17.1 units for moneyline bettors and 7.4 units ATS. The Braves have gone 67-48 SU this year and are 54-61 against the spread. Overall, the club has accumulated 10.6 units for bettors taking the moneyline, but have lost 6.3 units ATS.
Minnesota games have an over/under record of 57-51-5 in 2019. Atlanta has also been a decent over bet with a total record of 58-51-6.
The left-handed Max Fried is getting the start for Atlanta. Fried (12-4, 4.07 ERA) has racked up 112 strikeouts in 114 innings so far. He has yet to face the Twins this year and did not record a start against them in 2018, either.
The Twins will turn to lefty Martin Perez (8-4, 4.58 ERA), who’s got 100 strikeouts and 46 walks, along with a 1.40 WHIP. Perez did not register a start against the Braves in 2018.
Minnesota’s pitching staff has yielded 4.6 runs per game overall in 2019 as a unit. The club’s starters have an ERA of 3.84, a WHIP of 1.21 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 8.3. The bullpen has a 4.45 ERA, 1.37 WHIP and 9.5 K/9.
The Minnesota hitters are putting up 5.8 runs per contest, including 6.2 per game over its last 10 games and 7.4 per game over their last five. The team has slashed .280/.339/.542 over its last five games and is 4-1 SU during that span.
The Twins’ batters have been led by shortstop Jorge Polanco and right fielder Max Kepler. Polanco is slashing .295/.356/.499 with 17 home runs, 55 RBIs and 70 runs scored, and Kepler’s line is .265/.340/.551 with 31 homers, 77 RBIs and 77 runs scored.
In the visiting dugout, Atlanta’s pitchers have allowed 4.8 runs per game and its starters own a 4.44 ERA, 1.37 WHIP and 8.05 K/9. The bullpen has logged an ERA of 4.24, along with a WHIP of 1.37 and a K-per-9 of 9.27.
The Braves offense has slashed .263/.339/.459 on its way to 5.3 runs scored per game in 2019, including 5.3 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 5.2 per game over the team’s last five contests (2-3 SU).
Atlanta’s offense has been sparked by left fielder Ronald Acuna Jr. and first baseman Freddie Freeman, who’ve collectively blasted 56 home runs. Acuna Jr. is slashing .294/.376/.513 with 28 home runs, 72 RBIs, 92 runs and 26 steals, while Freeman (.306/.398/.569) has produced 28 homers, 91 RBIs and 88 runs scored.
The Braves have gained 1.2 units and are 11-14 ATS when facing a lefty starter this season. The over has cashed in 13 of those games, compared to 10 that’ve gone under against left-handed starting pitchers. On the other hand, the Twins have lost 1.4 units and are 15-11 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in 15 of those games, compared to nine which went under the total.
Braves at Twins Free MLB Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Twins, ATS Winner – Twins, O/U – UNDER
Betting Notes
- The over has cashed in five of Minnesota’s last seven games.
- The Braves have a team OPS of .798 this season, including an OPS of .796 against left-handed pitchers. The Twins’ OPS sits at .839 overall and .873 against southpaws.
- Minnesota has posted 23.0 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 26.2 over its last five.
- The Braves have hit 18 home runs in their last 10 games. The Twins have hit 22 over their last 10.
