DJ LeMahieu and the New York Yankees will do battle against their divisional rival Baltimore Orioles at Camden Yards in a Tuesday showdown. The matchup will begin at 7:05 p.m. ET and fans can tune in to YES Network to catch the action.
New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Orioles Odds
The Yankees have gone 73-39 SU this year and are 67-44 against the spread (ATS). They’ve gained 14.8 units for moneyline bettors and 26.8 units ATS. New York has covered the spread six times in its last seven games and the total has gone over in four of those seven. The Orioles, on the other hand, are 38-74 SU and 49-62 ATS. The team has lost 8.7 units for moneyline bettors and 19.9 units ATS. Baltimore has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the over has hit in three of those seven.
Orioles games have an over/under record of 55-47-9 in 2019. Yankees games have gone over 61 times, gone under 46 times and pushed on four occasions.
The right-handed Jonathan Holder is projected to start for the visiting Yankees. Holder is 5-2 with a 6.28 ERA and 44 strikeouts. He’s 0-0 with five strikeouts and a 9.53 ERA against Baltimore this year.
The Orioles are turning to righty Asher Wojciechowski (2-4, 4.15 ERA), who’s got 42 strikeouts and 11 walks as well as a WHIP of 1.07. Wojciechowski has yet to face the Yankees this year and did not appear in the majors last season.
New York’s pitching staff allowed 4.6 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 4.76 ERA, 1.33 WHIP and 8.87 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 3.81, along with a K-per-9 of 9.95.
The Yankees offense has slashed .271/.347/.478 on its way to 5.8 runs scored per game this season, including 6.3 runs per game against divisional foes and 7.0 per game over the team’s last five outings (5-0 SU).
Second baseman DJ LeMahieu and shortstop Gleyber Torres continue to lead New York’s hitters. LeMahieu is hitting .333/.380/.526 with 17 home runs, 75 RBIs and 77 runs scored. Torres (.282/.349/.508) has produced 23 homers, 62 RBIs and 70 runs scored.
In the home-team dugout, Baltimore’s pitching staff has allowed 6.1 runs per game overall in 2019. Its starters have a 5.45 ERA, 1.40 WHIP and 7.2 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 6.00 ERA, 1.54 WHIP and 8.7 K/9. In 51 divisional games, Orioles starters have an ERA of 4.94 and the bullpen’s ERA is 6.82.
The Baltimore hitters have produced 4.4 runs per outing, including 4.1 per game against divisional foes and 4.4 per game over their last five. The team has a slash-line of .239/.330/.423 over its last five contests and is 2-3 SU during that span.
The Orioles’ hitters have been led by outfielder Trey Mancini and second baseman Jonathan Villar. Mancini is slashing .279/.340/.535 with 26 home runs, 63 RBIs and 72 runs scored, and Villar’s line is .267/.331/.437 with 15 homers, 51 RBIs, 74 runs and 24 steals.
The Yankees have gained 14.6 units and are 47-30 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has cashed in 44 of those games, compared to 31 that’ve gone under against right-handed starting pitchers. On the other hand, the Orioles have lost 9.8 units and are 32-39 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over’s hit in 34 of those games, as opposed to 32 that’ve gone under.
Yankees vs. Orioles Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Orioles, ATS Winner – Yankees, O/U – OVER
Betting Notes
- The over has hit in four of New York’s last seven games.
- Baltimore has posted 23 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 20 over its last five.
- The Yankees have hit 18 home runs in their last 10 games, including 12 over their last five.
- The Yankees have a team OPS of .825 this season and an OPS of .828 when facing right-handed pitchers. The Orioles’ OPS sits at .715 overall and .709 against righties.
