In the 2 game of their divisional doubleheader, the Miami Marlins are set to face off against the New York Mets at Citi Field. The game gets underway 7:40 p.m. ET and SportsNet New York will broadcast the action.
Miami Marlins at New York Mets Odds
Vegas has listed New York (-165) as the favorite over Miami (+155). Gamblers can wager on the game’s total with odds sitting at -115 for over nine runs and -105 for under nine. Bettors can also wager on the game’s runline with the most recent odds sitting at -140 for the Marlins +1.5 runs and +120 for the Mets -1.5.
The Marlins are 42-67 SU and have gone 56-52 against the spread (ATS). The team hasn’t moved the needle much this year, losing 2.2 units for moneyline gamblers and 6.0 units ATS. The Mets, on the other hand, are 55-56 SU and 56-54 ATS. The team has lost 9.6 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 5.0 units ATS.
New York games have an over/under record of 58-43-9 in 2019. The Marlins have an over/under record of 48-53-7.
Robert Dugger is getting the start for Miami. The right-handed Dugger has yet to pitch in the majors this year and Miami is hoping that he can handle big-league action.
The Mets are putting the ball in the right hand of Walker Lockett (1-1, 7.82 ERA, 1.42 WHIP), who has nine strikeouts and three walks. Lockett did not record a start against the Marlins in 2018.
As a unit, New York’s pitchers have given up 4.8 runs per game overall this year. Its starters have a 4.08 ERA, 1.25 WHIP and 9.2 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 5.22 ERA, 1.50 WHIP and 9.2 K/9. In 47 divisional games, Mets starters have an ERA of 4.73 and the bullpen’s ERA is 5.64.
New York’s offense has put up 4.8 runs per outing, including 4.9 per game against divisional foes and 6.4 per game over its last five. The team has a slash-line of .280/.345/.462 over its last five contests and is 4-1 SU during that span.
The Mets’ offense has been led by Jeff McNeil, who is hitting .336/.400/.526 with 13 home runs, 49 RBIs and 61 runs scored.
For the visiting squad, Miami’s pitchers have allowed 4.6 runs per game and its starters own a 4.19 ERA, 1.27 WHIP and 8.38 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.68, along with a WHIP of 1.27 and a K-per-9 of 9.39.
The Marlins offense has slashed .237/.296/.363 on its way to 3.6 runs scored per game this year, including 3.5 runs per game against divisional foes and 3.6 per game over the team’s last five outings (1-4 SU).
Miami’s offense has been paced by Miguel Rojas. Rojas is hitting .291/.342/.387 with four home runs, 33 RBIs and 43 runs scored.
The Marlins just dropped a 7-2 game to the Rays, while the Mets are coming off of a 13-2 win against the Pirates.
Marlins vs. Mets Prediction
Predictions: SU Winner – Mets, ATS Winner – Marlins, O/U – OVER
Betting Trends
- The under has hit in just two of Miami’s last seven games.
- The Marlins have hit 11 home runs in their last 10 games. The Mets have hit 15 over their last 10.
- The Marlins have an OPS of .658 this season and an OPS of .646 against right-handed pitchers. The Mets’ OPS sits at .759 overall and .747 versus righties.
- Miami has posted 19.3 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 18.0 over its last five.
- The Marlins have lost four of their last five games SU while the Mets have taken nine of their last 10.
