The Arizona Diamondbacks are set to host the Philadelphia Phillies at Chase Field. The opening pitch is scheduled for 9:40 p.m. ET and Fox Sports Arizona will be showing this NL matchup.
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Arizona Diamondbacks Odds
Vegas has listed Philadelphia (+100) as the underdog to Arizona (-110). If you think this game’s total will go under 10 runs, Vegas is currently offering -115 odds. Taking the over will give you -105 odds. You can also bet on the game’s spread with the runline odds coming in at Phillies +1.5 runs (-210) and Diamondbacks -1.5 runs (+175).
The Phillies are 58-53 SU and are 51-59 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 2.3 units for moneyline gamblers and 9.0 units ATS. Philadelphia is 3-4 ATS over its last seven games and the total has gone under in four of those seven. The Diamondbacks, on the other hand, are 56-56 SU and 62-49 ATS. They’ve lost 0.8 units for bettors taking the moneyline while earning 8.3 units ATS. Arizona has a 3-4 ATS record over its last seven games and the total has gone over in four of those seven.
Arizona games have a 53-50-8 over/under record in 2019. The Phillies have an over/under record of 51-55-4.
The right-handed Vince Velasquez will get the start for the visiting Phillies. Velasquez is 3-6 with a 4.40 ERA and 85 strikeouts. He’s 0-0 with a 0.00 ERA against Arizona this year.
The Diamondbacks will be sending righty Merrill Kelly (7-11, 4.52 ERA) to the hill. Kelly has 100 punchouts and 33 walks to his name, along with a WHIP of 1.28. Kelly is 1-0 with five strikeouts and a 0.00 ERA in one start against Philadelphia this year.
As a unit, Arizona’s pitchers have yielded 4.6 runs per game overall this year. The club’s starting pitching staff has a 4.21 ERA, 1.24 WHIP and 8.8 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 4.53 ERA, 1.35 WHIP and 8.7 K/9.
The Arizona hitters have produced 5.2 runs per outing, including 5.7 per game over its last 10 games and 6.8 per game over their last five. The team’s hit .266/.371/.485 over its last five games and is 3-2 SU during that stretch.
The Diamondbacks’ hitters have been led by Ketel Marte and Eduardo Escobar. Marte is slashing .319/.380/.577 with 24 home runs, 66 RBIs and 75 runs scored, while Escobar is batting .279 with 24 homers, 88 RBIs and 69 runs.
In the visiting dugout, Philadelphia’s pitching staff allowed 5.0 runs per game and its starters own a 4.50 ERA, 1.35 WHIP and 8.31 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.71, along with a WHIP of 1.35.
Phillies hitters have slashed .245/.323/.420 on their way to 4.8 runs scored per game this year, including 4.8 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 4.4 per game over the team’s last five outings (2-3 SU).
Philadelphia’s hitters have been paced by second baseman Cesar Hernandez and shortstop Jean Segura. Hernandez is hitting .284/.330/.409 with eight home runs, 48 RBIs and 49 runs scored. Segura is slashing .281/.329/.436 with 11 homers, 45 RBIs and 61 runs scored.
The Phillies have gained 4.2 units and are 40-42 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has hit in 37 of those games, compared to 41 that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Diamondbacks have lost 3.4 units and are 45-34 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in 34 of those games, compared to 40 that’ve gone under.
Phillies at Diamondbacks MLB Prediction
Predictions: SU Winner – Diamondbacks, ATS Winner – Phillies, O/U – OVER
Betting Notes
- The under has hit in three of Arizona’s last seven games.
- The Phillies have hit 17 home runs in their last 10 games. The Diamondbacks have hit 15 over their last 10.
- The Phillies have a total OPS of .743 this season and an OPS of .734 when facing right-handed pitchers. The Diamondbacks’ OPS sits at .776 overall and .747 against righties.
- Philadelphia has recorded 24.6 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 21.2 over its last five.
