The Miami Marlins are preparing to do battle against the Tampa Bay Rays in a Sunday showdown. Fox Sports Sun is in line to televise this interleague showdown and the game gets going at 1:10 p.m. ET.
Miami Marlins vs. Tampa Bay Rays Odds
Miami (receiving +170) is coming into this one as the underdog to Tampa Bay (-180) and oddsmakers have set the Over/Under for this one at 8 runs. The odds for wagering on the game’s total currently stand at -110 for both the over and the under. The game’s most recent runline odds stand at -130 for taking the Marlins +1.5 runs and +110 for the Rays -1.5.
The Marlins are 42-66 SU and have gone 56-51 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 1.2 units for moneyline bettors and 4.9 units ATS. Miami has covered the spread five times in its last seven games and the over has hit in four of those seven. The Rays, on the other hand, are 64-48 SU and 59-52 ATS. They’ve lost 2.5 units for bettors taking the moneyline while gaining 1.3 units ATS. Tampa Bay has covered the spread five times in its last seven games and the total has gone over in five of those seven.
Rays games have an over/under record of 49-55-7 in 2019. The Marlins have also been a decent under bet with a total record of 47-53-7.
Left-hander Caleb Smith is getting the nod for the visiting Marlins. Smith (7-4, 3.43 ERA) has racked up 119 strikeouts in 97 innings so far. He’s 0-1 with eight strikeouts and a 3.38 ERA against Tampa Bay this year.
The Rays are going with righty Yonny Chirinos (8-5, 3.70 ERA), who has 106 strikeouts and 27 walks, along with a WHIP of 1.08. Chirinos has yet to face the Marlins this year and did not register a start against them in 2018.
Tampa Bay’s pitching staff has given up 3.9 runs per game overall this season as a unit. Its starters have an ERA of 3.35, a WHIP of 1.10 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 10.1. The bullpen has a 3.87 ERA, 1.25 WHIP and 9.1 K/9.
Tampa Bay’s offense has produced 4.7 runs per outing, including 6.4 per game over its last 10 games and 8.2 per game over its last five. The team has slashed .333/.417/.640 over its last five games and is 5-0 SU during that stretch.
Outfielders Tommy Pham and Avisail Garcia have led the way for the Rays’ offense this year. Pham is hitting .275/.373/.458 with 16 home runs, 48 RBIs, 50 runs and 12 steals, and Garcia’s line is .277/.337/.444 with 14 homers, 49 RBIs and 45 runs.
In the other dugout, Miami’s pitchers have allowed 4.6 runs per game and its starters own a 4.21 ERA, 1.27 WHIP and 8.39 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 4.62, along with a K-per-9 of 9.42.
The Marlins offense has slashed .238/.296/.363 on its way to 3.6 runs scored per game in 2019, including 4.4 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 5.4 per game over the team’s last five contests (2-3 SU).
Miami’s offensive production has been led by first baseman Miguel Rojas and second baseman Starlin Castro. Rojas is hitting .291/.343/.383 with four home runs, 33 RBIs and 43 runs scored. Castro (.249/.278/.359) has produced nine homers, 45 RBIs and 33 runs scored.
The Marlins have lost 0.5 units and are 38-40 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this season. The over has cashed in 31 of those games, as opposed to 42 that’ve hit the under against righty starters. On the other hand, the Rays have netted 0.3 units and are 23-18 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in 17 of those games, as opposed to 22 that’ve cashed the under.
Marlins vs. Rays MLB Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Rays, ATS Winner – Marlins, O/U – OVER
Betting Trends
- Miami has recorded 14 extra-base hits over its last five games. Tampa Bay has 28 XBH over its last five.
- The Marlins have an OPS of .659 this season and an OPS of .645 when facing right-handed pitchers. The Rays’ OPS sits at .765 overall and .772 against righties.
- The Rays have won seven of their last eight games SU.
- Tampa Bay has recorded 27.4 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 33.4 over its last five.
- The Marlins have hit 12 home runs in their last 10 games. The Rays have hit 18 over their last 10.
