The New York Mets will take on the Pittsburgh Pirates in a Sunday matinee. SportsNet New York is in line to broadcast this NL matchup and the game gets underway at 1:35 p.m. ET.
New York Mets at Pittsburgh Pirates Odds
New York (receiving -130) is favored over Pittsburgh (+120) and Vegas has set the Over/Under for this day game at 8.5 runs. The odds for betting on the game’s total currently sit at -115 for the under and -105 for the over. Bettors can also wager on the game’s runline with the most recent odds standing at Mets -1.5 runs (+115) and Pirates +1.5 runs (-135).
The Pirates are 55-54 against the spread (ATS), but just 48-62 straight up (SU). They’ve lost 5.2 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 10.4 units ATS. Pittsburgh has a 3-4 ATS mark over its last seven games and the over has hit in four of those seven. The Mets have gone 54-56 SU this year and are 55-54 ATS. In total, the team’s lost 10.6 units for moneyline gamblers and 6.2 units ATS. New York has covered the spread five times in its last seven games and the total has gone under in four of those seven.
Pittsburgh games have an over/under record of 61-42-6 in 2019. The Mets have also been a good over bet with a total record of 57-43-9.
Noah Syndergaard is getting the start for the visiting Mets. The right-handed Syndergaard is 7-5 with a 4.10 ERA and 137 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Pirates this year and did not record a start against them in 2018, either.
The Pirates are countering with Joe Musgrove (8-9, 4.23 ERA). Musgrove has 104 strikeouts and 29 walks, along with a WHIP of 1.20. Musgrove only made one start against the Mets in 2018 (0-1, 1.29 ERA and two strikeouts across seven innings).
As a unit, Pittsburgh’s pitching staff has given up 5.4 runs per game overall in 2019. Its starters have an ERA of 5.10, a WHIP of 1.41 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 8.4. The bullpen has a 4.79 ERA, 1.44 WHIP and 9.5 K/9.
The Pittsburgh offense is putting up 4.7 runs per contest, including 5.2 per game over its last 10 games and 6.2 per game over its last five. The team’s hit .273/.356/.459 over its last five games and is 2-3 SU during that stretch.
Right fielder Starling Marte and first baseman Josh Bell have led the Pirates’ hitters this year. Marte is slashing .288/.330/.510 with 20 home runs, 67 RBIs, 77 runs and 16 stolen bases, while Bell’s line sits at .283/.365/.581 with 27 homers, 89 RBIs and 75 runs.
In the other dugout, New York’s pitchers have allowed 4.8 runs per game and its starters own a 4.11 ERA, 1.25 WHIP and 9.30 K/9. The bullpen has logged an ERA of 5.23, along with a K-per-9 of 9.23.
The Mets offense has slashed .252/.325/.429 on its way to 4.7 runs scored per game this year, including 4.7 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 4.8 per game over the team’s last five outings (4-1 SU).
New York’s hitters have been led by left fielder Jeff McNeil and shortstop Amed Rosario. McNeil is slashing .334/.396/.515 with 12 home runs, 47 RBIs and 57 runs scored, while Rosario (.281/.322/.443) is up to 11 homers, 47 RBIs, 51 runs and 13 stolen bases.
The Mets have lost 9.8 units and are 39-44 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this season. The over has hit in 44 of those games, as opposed to 32 that’ve gone under against righty starters. On the other hand, the Pirates have lost 0.2 units and are 43-39 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over’s hit in 43 of those games, as opposed to 34 that’ve cashed the under.
Mets vs. Pirates MLB Prediction
Predictions: SU Winner – Mets, ATS Winner – Mets, O/U – OVER
Betting Trends
- The over has hit in just two of New York’s last seven outings.
- The Mets have an OPS of .755 this season and an OPS of .740 against right-handed pitchers. The Pirates’ OPS sits at .753 overall and .777 versus righties.
- The Mets have won eight of their last nine games SU.
- New York has posted 20.9 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 23.6 over its last five.
- Both teams have hit 12 home runs over their last 10 games.
