The San Diego Padres are ready to face off against their divisional rival Los Angeles Dodgers in a Sunday showdown. The game gets underway 4:10 p.m. ET and Spectrum SportsNet LA will broadcast the matchup.
San Diego Padres vs. Los Angeles Dodgers Odds
San Diego (+140) is the underdog against Los Angeles (-150) and oddsmakers have put the Over/Under for this one at 8.5 runs. Odds for wagering on the game’s total currently sit at -115 for the over and -105 for the under. You can also wager on the game’s runline with the current odds sitting at Padres +1.5 runs (-155) and Dodgers -1.5 runs (+135).
The Dodgers are 73-40 straight up (SU) and 54-58 against the spread (ATS). They’ve gained 12.1 units for bettors taking the moneyline while earning 3.0 units ATS. Los Angeles has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the total has gone under in four of those seven. The Padres, on the other hand, have gone 51-59 SU this year and are 49-60 ATS. Overall, the team’s lost 10.7 units for moneyline gamblers and 16.5 units ATS. San Diego has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the total has gone over in four of those seven.
Neither team has been a strong over/under bet this year. Los Angeles games have an over/under record of 52-53-7 in 2019. San Diego has an over/under record of 51-51-7.
Right-hander Chris Paddack is projected to start for the visiting Padres. Paddack is 7-5 with a 2.78 ERA and 104 strikeouts. He’s 0-1 with nine strikeouts and a 2.61 ERA against Los Angeles this year (two starts).
The Dodgers are sending righty Kenta Maeda (7-8, 4.07 ERA) to the mound. Maeda has 118 strikeouts and 38 walks to his name, along with a 1.10 WHIP. Maeda is 1-1 with 24 strikeouts and a 3.10 ERA across three starts against San Diego this year.
As a unit, Los Angeles’ pitching staff has given up 3.9 runs per game overall in 2019. Its starters have a 2.99 ERA, 1.06 WHIP and 9.2 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 4.11 ERA, 1.21 WHIP and 9.2 K/9. In 50 games against divisional foes, Dodgers starters have an ERA of 3.38 and the bullpen’s ERA is 3.69.
Los Angeles’ offense is putting up 5.4 runs per contest, including 5.6 per game against divisional foes and 5.6 per game over its last five. The team has a slash-line of .239/.303/.479 over its last five games and is 4-1 SU during that stretch.
The Dodgers’ hitters have been led by first baseman Cody Bellinger and third baseman Justin Turner. Bellinger is hitting .326/.427/.674 with 36 home runs, 85 RBIs, 89 runs and nine stolen bases, while Turner’s line is .286/.368/.480 with 17 homers, 48 RBIs and 64 runs scored.
In the visiting dugout, San Diego’s pitchers have allowed 4.8 runs per game and its starters own a 4.49 ERA, 1.26 WHIP and 8.15 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.57, along with a WHIP of 1.26.
The Padres offense has slashed .244/.312/.429 on its way to 4.4 runs scored per game this year, including 4.2 runs per game against divisional foes and 4.2 per game over the team’s last five outings (2-3 SU).
First baseman Eric Hosmer and third baseman Manny Machado continue to lead San Diego’s offense. Hosmer is slashing .283/.334/.440 with 15 home runs, 70 RBIs and 55 runs scored, while Machado (.275/.344/.505) is up to 26 homers, 68 RBIs and 64 runs scored.
The Padres have lost 2.3 units and are 38-49 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this year. The over has cashed in 43 of those games, compared to 38 that’ve hit the under in such games. On the other hand, the Dodgers have netted 8.6 units and are 40-36 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over’s hit in 34 of those games, as opposed to 35 which went under the total.
Padres at Dodgers MLB Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Dodgers, ATS Winner – Padres, O/U – OVER
Betting Trends
- The over has hit in four of San Diego’s last seven contests.
- The Padres have a team OPS of .741 this season and an OPS of .721 against right-handed pitchers. The Dodgers’ OPS sits at .809 overall and .815 against righties.
- The Dodgers have won four of their last five games SU.
- Los Angeles has recorded 18.2 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 21.2 over its last five.
- The Padres have hit 13 home runs in their last 10 games, including nine over their last five.
