Nicholas Castellanos and the Detroit Tigers will square off against the Texas Rangers at Globe Life Park in a Saturday showdown. The first pitch is scheduled for 8:05 p.m. ET and Fox Sports Detroit will showcase this AL matchup.
Detroit Tigers at Texas Rangers Odds
Las Vegas has Detroit (+105) as the underdog to Texas (-115). If you’re thinking this game’s total is going to go under 10.5 runs scored, then Vegas is teeing up -110 odds. Taking the over return -110 odds. There’s a runline of Tigers +1.5 (-200) and Rangers -1.5 (+170) for this matchup.
The Rangers are 55-54 straight up (SU) and 63-45 against the spread (ATS). They’ve gained 10.3 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 12.2 units ATS. The Tigers have gone 32-73 SU this year and are 42-62 against the spread. In total, the team’s lost 26.9 units for moneyline gamblers and 27.6 units ATS.
Rangers games have an over/under record of 52-54-2 in 2019. Detroit has an over/under record of 47-50-7.
Southpaw Matthew Boyd will get the nod for the visiting Tigers. Boyd is 6-8 with a 3.94 ERA and 178 strikeouts. He’s 0-1 with 11 strikeouts and a 5.14 ERA against Texas this year.
The Rangers are handing the ball to righty Adrian Sampson (6-8, 5.32 ERA), who has 86 strikeouts and 24 walks as well as a 1.45 WHIP. Sampson hasn’t faced the Tigers yet this year and did not record a start against them in 2018.
Detroit’s pitching staff allowed 5.5 runs per game and its starters own a 5.20 ERA, 1.41 WHIP and 8.39 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 4.94, along with a WHIP of 1.41 and a K/9 of 8.23.
The Tigers offense has slashed .232/.292/.380 on its way to 3.6 runs scored per game in 2019, including 3.0 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 4.6 per game over the team’s last five outings (2-3 SU).
Detroit’s offensive production has been powered by Nicholas Castellanos and Miguel Cabrera. Castellanos is slashing .273/.328/.462 with 11 home runs, 37 RBIs and 57 runs scored, while Cabrera (.280/.339/.376) has produced six homers, 41 RBIs and 24 runs scored.
In the home-team dugout, Texas’ pitchers have given up 5.3 runs per game overall this year. Its starters have a 5.18 ERA, 1.43 WHIP and 8.7 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 4.86 ERA, 1.46 WHIP and 8.7 K/9.
The Texas hitters are putting up 5.3 runs per outing, including 5.7 per game over its last 10 games and 5.6 per game over their last five. The team has slashed .332/.369/.543 over its last five contests and is 2-3 SU during that span.
Elvis Andrus and Shin-soo Choo have led the Rangers’ batters this year. Andrus is hitting .284/.320/.412 with eight home runs, 52 RBIs, 54 runs and 22 stolen bases, while Choo’s line is .276/.371/.482 with 18 homers, 43 RBIs and 68 runs scored.
The Tigers have lost 26.2 units and are 31-52 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has cashed in 34 of those games, compared to 44 that’ve gone under against right-handed starting pitchers. On the other hand, the Rangers have netted 0.3 units and are 22-15 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher. The over’s hit in 20 of those games, as opposed to 15 that’ve gone under.
Tigers vs. Rangers MLB Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Rangers, ATS Winner – Tigers, O/U – UNDER
Betting Notes
- The under has hit in three of Texas’ last seven games.
- Detroit has posted 17.8 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 games and 21.4 over its last five.
- The Tigers have hit nine home runs in their last 10 games, including six over their last five.
- The Tigers have a team OPS of .672 this season and an OPS of .662 against right-handed pitchers. The Rangers’ OPS sits at .774 overall and .790 against righties.
