The Minnesota Twins will play host to their division foe Kansas City Royals at Target Field. The game gets underway 7:10 p.m. ET and Fox Sports Kansas City will broadcast the action.
Kansas City Royals at Minnesota Twins Odds
Kansas City (+200) is the underdog against Minnesota (-220) and oddsmakers have put the Over/Under for this game at 10 runs. Odds for wagering on the game’s total currently stand at -115 for the over and -105 for the under. You can also bet on the game’s spread with the most recent runline odds standing at -110 for the Royals +1.5 runs and -110 for the Twins -1.5 runs.
The Royals are 40-71 SU and have gone 53-57 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 17.3 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 15.6 units ATS. Kansas City has covered the spread only twice over its last seven games and the total has gone over in five of those seven. The Twins, on the other hand, are 67-42 SU and 58-50 ATS. They’ve gained 14.7 units for moneyline bettors and 4.4 units ATS. Minnesota has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the total has gone over in four of those seven.
Twins games have a 54-49-5 over/under record in 2019. Kansas City has an over/under record of 53-49-8.
Left-hander Danny Duffy is projected to start for Kansas City. Duffy is 5-5 with a 4.42 ERA and 85 strikeouts. He’s 0-0 with four strikeouts and a 3.38 ERA against Minnesota this year.
The Twins are turning to righty Kyle Gibson (10-4, 4.10 ERA), who has 118 strikeouts and 33 walks, along with a 1.27 WHIP. Gibson is 1-0 with eight strikeouts and a 3.55 ERA across two starts against Kansas City this year.
Minnesota’s pitchers have allowed 4.6 runs per game overall this year as a unit. The team’s starters have a 3.82 ERA, 1.21 WHIP and 8.3 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 4.50 ERA, 1.38 WHIP and 9.5 K/9. In 38 divisional games, Twins starters have an ERA of 3.59 and the bullpen’s ERA is 2.81.
The Minnesota offense has put up 5.8 runs per contest, including 5.6 per game against divisional foes and 7.0 per game over its last five. The team’s hit .250/.328/.500 over its last five matchups and is 4-1 SU during that stretch.
The Twins’ batters have been led by shortstop Jorge Polanco and outfielder Max Kepler. Polanco is hitting .300/.359/.501 with 16 home runs, 52 RBIs and 68 runs scored, while Kepler is batting .268 with 30 homers, 75 RBIs and 74 runs.
In the visiting dugout, Kansas City’s pitching staff allowed 5.2 runs per game and its starters own a 5.19 ERA, 1.43 WHIP and 7.36 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 4.75, along with a K-per-9 of 8.53.
The Royals offense has slashed .249/.314/.402 on its way to 4.3 runs scored per game in 2019, including 4.7 runs per game against divisional foes and 4.8 per game over the team’s last five contests (1-4 SU).
Second baseman Whit Merrifield and outfielder Alex Gordon continue to lead Kansas City’s offense. Merrifield is slashing .303/.358/.484 with 12 home runs, 55 RBIs, 76 runs and 16 stolen bases, while Gordon is slashing .278/.351/.434 with 11 homers, 60 RBIs and 61 runs scored.
The Royals have lost 15.0 units and are 39-42 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this year. The over has hit in 41 of those games, compared to 36 that’ve hit the under in such games. On the other hand, the Twins have lost 2.4 units and are 14-11 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in 14 of those games, as opposed to nine which went under the total.
Royals vs. Twins MLB Tip
Predictions: SU Winner – Twins, ATS Winner – Royals, O/U – OVER
Betting Trends
- The over has hit in four of Minnesota’s last seven games.
- The Royals have hit eight home runs in their last 10 games, including five over their last five.
- The Royals have a total OPS of .716 this season and an OPS of .727 against right-handed pitchers. The Twins’ OPS sits at .839 overall and .831 against righties.
- Minnesota has recorded 25.9 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 25.0 over its last five.
- The Royals have lost seven of their last eight games SU while the Twins have won four of their last five.
